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Private sector wages and benefits are on the upswing, but economists caution celebrating

Jan 31, 2018
We are finally starting to see some signs that the tight labor market is pushing up wages. New numbers out today from the Department of Labor show wages and salaries in the private sector are up 2.8 percent from this time last year. That doesn’t leave too much extra cash for workers once you factor […]

With low unemployment and latest numbers on consumer prices, questions about inflation

Jan 12, 2018
The Consumer Price Index rose 0.1 percent in December from the previous month. The “core” inflation rate — excluding volatile food and energy prices — rose 0.3 percent month-to-month. That’s the largest increase since January 2017, and was higher than economists expected. But does it mean we’re beginning to see a serious uptick in inflation?  […]

The Fed rethinks its inflation target

Jan 9, 2018
The Federal Reserve has two main jobs: maximize employment and keep prices stable. That second piece, stable prices, has meant the Fed tries to keep inflation at 2 percent. Former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke made that target the explicit goal about six years ago, but it’s been unofficial far longer than that. Lots of other […]

2017 jobs picture was rosy, but are we at full employment?

Dec 29, 2017
2017 was a good year for jobs. Over the past year, (November 2016 to November 2017, the latest figure available), unemployment’s fallen by half a percent to just 4.1 percent. And according to orthodox economics, that means we’re hovering around full employment. Basically, the model says: If unemployment falls lower, employers will be so desperate […]

New Fed chair will carrying out the board’s dual mandate

Nov 1, 2017
President Trump is expected to announce who he’s nominating for chair of the Federal Reserve tomorrow. Current Chair Janet Yellen’s term ends in February.  One thing will stay the same after Yellen leaves: the Fed’s dual mandate of balancing inflation and unemployment. Click the audio player above to hear the full story. 

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The Fed might not have inflation all figured out

Oct 20, 2017
Daniel Tarullo, former Fed board governor, talks about his new paper on why the Fed hasn't got it right when it comes to measuring inflation.
Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen speaks during a press conference after the Federal Open Market Committee meetings in Washington, DC, on September 2017.
SAUL LOEB/AFP/Getty Images

Changing the way we measure inflation could boost Social Security benefits

Using an index that's representative of retirees would mean a bigger monthly check, but it's a tough sell.
Social Security checks are placed in bins before they are mailed at the U.S. Treasury printing facility in Philadelphia in 20005.
William Thomas Caine/Getty Images

A few reasons not to worry too much about the economy this weekend

Aug 25, 2017
We spoke with Bill Nelson, former deputy director of Monetary Affairs at the Federal Reserve, about the state of the U.S. economy.
Federal Reserve Board Chair Janet Yellen arrives at a news conference in September 2015.
Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images