Why low unemployment might not lead to higher inflation

Feb 21, 2018
The unemployment rate is at 4.1 percent — the lowest level since 2000.
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Are we too worried about inflation, but not worried enough about deficits?

Feb 16, 2018
We take a look at the Republican Party's flip-flop on debt.
Kevin Hassett, chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, at a daily White House briefing in November.
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For Dallas Fed president, sustaining long-term growth will take more than tax cuts

Robert Kaplan says fiscal policy should bring less debt and focus on economic fundamentals.
Pedestrians walk past the New York Stock Exchange.
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Here's how inflation works

Feb 14, 2018
Inflation is up more than expected, according to the consumer price index.
A view of the Federal Reserve building.
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Markets wait for latest inflation number

Feb 13, 2018
The Labor Department will be out tomorrow with one measure of inflation: the consumer price index. You can bet a lot of people are going be paying special attention to that number, because investors have made it clear they’re worried about rising prices. Meanwhile, although it turns out we can measure inflation, it is really […]

Hey, wait. My hamburger just got more expensive.

Feb 9, 2018
The plunge in the stock market this week has been widely ascribed to fears that inflation is coming. But for large parts of the American economy — namely, business — inflation is already here. From car companies to restaurant groups, American companies are paying higher prices for raw materials and ingredients. The Labor Department’s Producer Price Index […]

For public good, not for profit.

Private sector wages and benefits are on the upswing, but economists caution celebrating

Jan 31, 2018
We are finally starting to see some signs that the tight labor market is pushing up wages. New numbers out today from the Department of Labor show wages and salaries in the private sector are up 2.8 percent from this time last year. That doesn’t leave too much extra cash for workers once you factor […]

With low unemployment and latest numbers on consumer prices, questions about inflation

Jan 12, 2018
The Consumer Price Index rose 0.1 percent in December from the previous month. The “core” inflation rate — excluding volatile food and energy prices — rose 0.3 percent month-to-month. That’s the largest increase since January 2017, and was higher than economists expected. But does it mean we’re beginning to see a serious uptick in inflation?  […]