Economists are predicting a recession. Does that really mean we'll have one?

Jan 30, 2023
We take a look inside the world of economic forecasting and ask whether predictions are reliable.
Economists at Wells Fargo and JPMorgan expect a recession this year but describe it as "modest" and "mild."
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Leading economic indicators fall — again

Jan 25, 2023
The Conference Board's closely-watched index has fallen consistently since February 2022, indicating higher risk of recession.
The closely-watched Index of Leading Economic Indicators fell in its latest report, painting a gloomy macroeconomic picture for the near future.
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Why it's so hard to agree on the causes of inflation

Apr 4, 2022
As inflation hits 40-year highs on several key metrics, not all economists agree on the causes.
Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images)

Pandemic has economic forecasters going back to the drawing board

Jun 16, 2021
For Ellen Zentner, chief U.S. economist at Morgan Stanley, the pandemic meant scrapping all the models and going back to the fundamentals.
People walk past the New York Stock Exchange on Wall Street.
Angela Weiss/AFP via Getty Images

Economist Paul Romer on why macroeconomists are ‘totally off base’

Oct 7, 2016
The NYU professor and World Bank chief economist has caused a bit of hubub in the dismal science.
Paul Romer speaks at the Disruptive Innovation Awards at the 2011 Tribeca Film Festival in New York.
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How the falling ruble will affect emerging markets

Dec 17, 2014
Rattled investors can turn risk averse.