Do we really want to go back to the pre-pandemic economy?

Apr 29, 2021
True, the economy was in good shape before COVID-19. But it wasn't working for many.
Before the pandemic, Black workers were seeing historically low unemployment rates but were still almost twice as likely to be jobless as white workers. Above, a woman in Hollywood, Florida, uses her laptop to file for unemployment benefits in March 2020.
Joe Raedle/Getty Images

U.S. productivity plummeted in Q4, and reopening the economy might be why

Mar 4, 2021
The measure fell at the steepest rate in 40 years, but that might not be as ominous as it sounds — if the trend is short term.
Less productive businesses like restaurants have started to reopen, which may be causing national productivity data to decline.
Scott Heins/Getty Images

How economists are keeping up in the fast-paced COVID-19 recession

Apr 23, 2020
Quarterly and monthly data, like GDP and the unemployment rate, don't really give us a picture of what is happening today.
Economists are using real-time data in the COVID-19 pandemic and recession.
Spencer Platt/Getty Images

Economic disruption could lead to less reliable economic data

Mar 12, 2020
The COVID-19 epidemic may make it harder for government agencies to track and report rapid changes in the U.S. economy.
Economic data could become less reliable as people change their behaviors during the coronavirus pandemic.
Jeenah Moon/Getty Images

Why this yield curve inversion could be different

Aug 14, 2019
This time around, it may not be telling us that a recession's on the way.
Investors, spooked by economic fears, dumped stocks on Wednesday, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 800 points. Above, the New York Stock Exchange.
Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images

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Making sense of stats that don't make sense

May 17, 2019
Don't question your sanity when economic indicators point in opposite directions.
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Could the latest government jobs data show the economy is slowing?

Feb 12, 2019
The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey — aka JOLTS — may be pointing to a downturn. Today's report should tell us more.
The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey — aka JOLTS — may be pointing to a downturn. Today's report should tell us more.
Ildo Frazao/iStock/Getty Images Plus

Why lower unemployment doesn't mean higher inflation

Oct 3, 2014
Inflation hawks see the specter of higher wages and prices in lower unemployment numbers, as workers gain leverage versus bosses.