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What the USC Daybreak poll got right and wrong about 2020 election predictions

Nov 19, 2020
Asking people who they think their friends and family members will vote for may end up being a close estimate of actual election outcomes.
Social circle polling can be "like having a little window into the people that we may or may not have access to," says Jill Darling, survey director of the USC Daybreak poll.
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What role can machine-learning election forecasts play in 2020?

Oct 6, 2020
Economist Editor-in-Chief Zanny Minton Beddoes sees the magazine's forecasts as complements to traditional political reporting.
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For campaigns, election forecasting can provide guidance on how to spend money

Sep 23, 2020
Models can be especially helpful to national parties looking at where to allocate funds.
Of course, all forecasting models have their limits, because the data just provides a snapshot in time.
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How voters feel about the economy

Nov 9, 2016
We look at exit poll data to see how issues fared along political lines.
A subway commuter reads a newspaper featuring the U.S. election results in New York on November 9.
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