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Carter's oil crisis warning went unheard

President Jimmy Carter delivers his "Crisis of Confidence" speech on July 15, 1979.

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Kai Ryssdal: At his press conference today the president once again called for Congress to lift its ban on offshore oil drilling. He said even though it would take years to pay off, drilling would still put the U.S. on the right track toward reducing dependence on foreign oil. And he said there are no short-term solutions.

President George Bush: The president doesn't have a magic wand. You can't just say low gas. It took us a while to get here and we need to have a good strategy to get out of it.

Ryssdal: Twenty-nine years ago today Jimmy Carter made a speech and told us he thought had a pretty good strategy. It didn't go anywhere. But we asked our sustainability reporter Sam Eaton what things would be like today if it had.


Sam Eaton: The energy crisis of President Carter's tenure may have been rooted in a different set of causes. But the solutions he proposed his 1979 "crisis of confidence" speech could just as easily have been directed at today's set of challenges.

Tape of President Jimmy Carter: The energy crisis is real. It is worldwide. It is a clear and present danger to our nation. These are facts and we simply must face them.

Dan Kammen: History has born Carter to be dead on.

Dan Kammen is an energy policy expert at U.C. Berkeley. He says the image of President Carter wearing a cardigan sweater to stay warm may not have been very presidential, but his ideas were. In that same speech Carter proposed a cap on foreign oil imports and an ambitious conservation plan that included a 48-mile-per-gallon fuel efficiency standard for cars.

Kammen: If that amount of savings was going on, United States would have no need to import a drop of oil from the Middle East.

Jerry Taylor: Foreign oil is what keeps prices down.

Jerry Taylor with the conservative CATO institute says Carter's moratorium on foreign oil imports would have devastated the U.S. economy if Congress had approved it. He says the solution to today's energy crunch is to let the market work. Just look at how U.S. automakers are already ramping up production of fuel-efficient compacts.

Taylor: All that's happening without a George Bush speech in a cardigan sweater from the White House. It's happening because prices are high and people react.

But unlike the energy crises of the late 1970, few are predicting that this one will go away. And if that's the case, Berkeley's Dan Kammen says the U.S, may need that cardigan sweater after all.

In Los Angeles, I'm Sam Eaton for Marketplace.

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Michael Dearing's picture
Michael Dearing - Jul 16, 2011

As a symbol of National interest, solar pannels on the Whitehouse were an excellent statement of energy independence and conservation, removing them speaks volumes about intentional dependency, selfish, greedy and unconservative leadership.

Evan Coffield's picture
Evan Coffield - Jul 20, 2008

In the 1970's students were discussing the reallocation of world resources. All the energy you can imagine is in the super volcano in Wyoming if we could tap it. The media destroyed Carters image, he was one of the few engineering presidents who knew technology implemented would help get us free of oil. But, noone on the republican side admits that oil, gasoline produce dangerous gases that are affecting our children with asthma and atmosphere. Air pollution in China is causing birth defects amongs the children and adults. Pictures have been shown of small children wearing breathing masks to protect them from all the air pollution in the worst cities. If you live in L.A. you breath in the equivalent of one pack of cigarettes a day. We had electric cars 80 years ago until we were suckered into switching to gasoline driven vehicles.

HP Ng's picture
HP Ng - Jul 18, 2008

Something for you folks to ponder about. What is the definition of supply and demand? If there is an energy crisis, as in shortage of oil, or as in more demand for oil than there is supply, then would would have long lines of vehicles at the gas station. Does anyone see long lines of people at the gas station? NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO! This menas there is NO shortage of oil or gas of any kind. This high prices of oil is not due to market demand and supply, and gain, based on classic definition of supply and demand. Some one or some groups (besides the obvious oil producers) are making a killing of this artificial hike in oil prices.....

Matt L's picture
Matt L - Jul 18, 2008

Improving our CAFE standards on an incremental basis should have been a priority for years. Perhaps our EPA should start implementing (and enforcing) year over year improvements to our mpg. Now that it's too late our economy, the economic engine for the world historically, is being replaced by some other country. Only the strong survive in a capitalist economy. Gore summed things up nicely just yesterday: WE ARE BORROWING FROM CHINA TO BUY OIL FROM THE MIDDLE EAST TO DESTROY OUR ENVIRONMENT. ...Further reducing our overall quality of life and raising our health care costs. (A penny spent in the 70's would have been a significant contribution to avoiding our current "slow growth" scenario).

Sanoran Triamesh's picture
Sanoran Triamesh - Jul 18, 2008

Most americans think the USA is a free-market, and they hate the idea of social policy. But the driving force behind america's prosperity was Oil. And Oil was not, for a while, free-market. We had the guns, we kept the arab/venezuelan/mexican dictators in power, and got paid back in oil. But the world has changed. We are finally being given our own medicine, free-market. Unlike the ease of bailing out their buddies in freddie/fannie/bear, congress can not tax and spend out of the end of cheap oil. Carter's warning, given to a thinking society, could have made this blow less painful. But now market forces will have to do their job. Being fornicated without a warning is probably not pleasant, but free-market loving americans will have to endure it as the market corrects the level of prosperity down to a level that their abilities and resources dictate. Americans are also religious, so they are welcome to pray. In the mean time, over the next 10 years, a brutal free-market process will take place, and it will be painful, -but well deserved.

jo blo's picture
jo blo - Jul 17, 2008

Hipppies never do the numbers. Carter didn't either when he outlawed reprocessing of Nuke fuel. Way to go, now we are behind in tech as well as dependendent on 3rd worlders.

Jack Johnson's picture
Jack Johnson - Jul 17, 2008

To the person who said that electric motors run decades without being worked on. I can show you two pool pump motors, a HVAC motor and numerous others that have had to be rebuilt or replaced after 5-6 years because they wear out. Typical liberal rubbish where you lie and deceive to make people think you know what you are talking about. So Carter got one right, he got many times more wrong, but the Democrats of present don't care because they are bought and paid for by the liberal greenies.

Ron Kuechler's picture
Ron Kuechler - Jul 17, 2008

I think Mr. Muse has accurately described how the market will respond.

B Nelson's picture
B Nelson - Jul 17, 2008

Oh, the market will respond, alright... with the closure of America's automotive giants.

Pete Fundy's picture
Pete Fundy - Jul 16, 2008

Earth to Sam Eaton--the libertarians at Cato shudder when they're referred to as "conservative." We conservatives don't smoke as much pot as the Cato bunch, and I think it shows. Dude.

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