BOB MOON: Did you notice, this is the first real quiet week in August. Well, relatively speaking. Most people are thinking about vacation. But others — especially anyone who handles money — they’re thinking interest rates. The Fed is expected to keep those rates near zero for nearly two more years. But is that a good thing for the economy? Who’s really benefiting?
Our New York bureau chief Heidi Moore reports.
HEIDI MOORE: When the going gets tough in the economy, the Federal Reserve gets going on keeping interest rates low.
Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s, told me why.
MARK ZANDI: The Fed is working really hard to make it very attractive to go out and take a chance, take a risk, borrow money, go out and hire somebody, go out and invest, start a business, go spend some money, buy a car, buy a home — that’s what this is all about.
But we all know that hasn’t worked exactly according to plan. For instance, take that part about buying a home. It’s harder now because banks don’t lend so easily. And how about refinancing?
A lot of people got excited about that, says Guy Cecala. He’s the publisher of Inside Mortgage Finance.
GUY CECALA: In the past two weeks, we saw a mini refi boom. Significant. The phones were ringing off the hook at most lenders.
And you got to lock in those low rates — if you had pristine credit, a lot of equity in your home, and the agility of a ninja. Otherwise, some lenders let those calls go straight to voicemail while waiting for rates to rise again.
CECALA: You not only have to have really quick reflexes, you have to get a lender who will answer your phone and take a loan application very, very quickly.
One bright spot is those notorious adjustable-rate mortgages. Homeowners who got those a few years ago have seen their monthly payments fall along with interest rates. But generally, who’s really benefiting from low interest rates? The paradox is that it’s the ones who are doing well anyway: corporations, banks. But retirees on fixed incomes? People who are struggling with their mortgages? Not at all.
In New York, I’m Heidi Moore for Marketplace.
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