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Are consumers ready for 3-D TV?

A picture of a 3-D television is seen through 3-D glasses.

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TEXT OF STORY

Bob Moon: There are plenty of new ways to watch video these days -- from YouTube on your computer to movies streamed straight to your shiny new iPad. Remember something called television? Actually, that's still the most popular way to watch video. TV reaches 90 percent of the planet, according to a new global survey out today from the folks at Nielsen. One interesting finding: Around 12 percent either own, or intend to buy, a new 3-D TV set within the next year. Provided, that is, that they can afford it.

Sally Herships has been looking at whether consumers are really ready to explore this new dimension.


Sally Herships: 3-D TV is here, but it's pricey. New sets start at $1,500 and go all the way to $6,000. And then there are the glasses. Just like at the movies, you'll need special specs to watch.

Paul Gagnon works at research firm Display Search.

Paul Gagnon: There are some issues associated with using glasses to view 3-D. You don't want to break 'em, you have to make sure they're recharged, you don't want to lose them.

A lot of 3-D sets come with two pairs of glasses. But if you want more, say for your kids, you'll have to pay -- about 140 bucks a pop. Gagnon says the holy grail of 3-D technology -- viewing without glasses -- won't arrive for about five years. For now, he says, consumers will probably put up with them. But, there's a bigger issue: There's just not that much to watch. Take movies available on Blu-Ray.

Gagnon: Let's see there's "Monsters vs Aliens," "Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs" from Sony and those are really the two big ones that are out right now.

And there's not much TV programming right now either, though that's starting to change. Still content in three dimensions may not come out fast enough or look good enough to keep consumers interested.

Sam Craig teaches marketing at NYU.

Sam Craig: It's a classic chicken-and-egg situation.

Craig says consumers won't buy without content. But producers won't make that content unless consumers buy. He says we've seen this problem before, like when color TV was introduced in the 1950s.

Vintage commercial: More then $225 million were spent to develop RCA's all-electronic, compatible colored television system.

Man singing in vintage commercial: Wow! I bought color TV. RCA Vinter color TV...

Craig: Most people had just bought black and white TVS.

And color technology wasn't yet perfected. Some people looked greenish on screen.

Craig: So people were a little bit reluctant to shell out a lot more money for an inferior technology.

And without a platform, broadcasters didn't want to invest in color content. Craig says until the technology got better and prices dropped, color TV didn't catch on.

So, will consumers react the same way to 3-D TV? To find out, I headed to the 3-D aisle of a local Best Buy. There was a nature documentary on.

Nature documentary: Yet here in McMudro Sound, life flourishes...

Sea urchins and red sea stars are shown undulating, in sped-up time lapse. Shopper Mike Gonzales is impressed, but not that impressed.

Herships: Would you buy?

Gonzales: It would have to be really enticing. Like, you know, if they gave me an extra TV set for the bathroom or something.

And fellow shopper Fred Jenkins said he's OK with the price of the TVs, but he just bought a new LED display. And besides, there's that whole glasses issue.

Fred Jenkins: Well, I guess just me and my girl will be watching the 3-D one. And when company come over, they'll just have to go in the back to the LED.

Most of the shoppers I talked to were just not willing to fork over that much cash. But industry analyst Paul Gagnon says customers are buying. He says this year almost three and a half million 3-D TVs will be sold worldwide. And he says prices will come down. By the holidays, sets should be available below $1,000.

I'm Sally Herships for Marketplace.

Darren Ivey's picture
Darren Ivey - Aug 6, 2010

I agree with Paul that 3D TV without glasses is probably 5 - 6 years away, however universal glasses are right around the corner. Manufacturers are working on a "universal" solution, which is easier for cinema, projection and game console applications than TV. It seems all the TV makers have their own technology or IR protocols. To have true universal solution, CEA needs to step-in and try to work for an industry standard on how to communicate with the glasses. Then it would simplify the circuitry and reduce the cost. In the interim, there will be "universal" glasses which will cover about 80% of the applications & makers. Watch for tru-3D glasses who will be launching their, affordable, universal shutter glasses before the end of the year!

Bob Moon's picture
Bob Moon - Aug 5, 2010

Thanks for listening, Pete. You can find that old commercial on YouTube -- and we're posting it here for you! Gene: I think consumer adoption of color TV is a much more apt parallel than HDTV. I don't see that example as the "analog" at all, when you consider its adoption has actually been MANDATED by the government. And as for the advent of color TV: I was a wee lad when Dad brought home our first color set, but...gee, thanks for making me feel really ancient!

Pete Nelson's picture
Pete Nelson - Aug 5, 2010

For years I have remembered the RCA color tv commercial tune you played in this piece. My family thinks I'm crazy and I would love to surprise them with the tune. Is it available for download?

Gene McKenna's picture
Gene McKenna - Aug 4, 2010

Did you really have to go back to the adoption of color TV to find a relevant case when manufacturers of new TV's and producers of content were caught in a catch-22? The recent switch from analog to high definition digital TV comes to mind as a very obvious case. It would have been much more informative to hear about parallels in the modern era rather than from the dawn of TV time.