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Will new tariffs affect monetary policy? For now, it’s wait-and-see

Carola Binder, an economist at the University of Texas at Austin, explains why tariffs might cause prices to rise, but they doesn’t necessarily mean the Fed will get involved right off the bat.

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Imported cars parked at the Port of Los Angeles.
Imported cars parked at the Port of Los Angeles.
Mario Tama/Getty Images

President-elect Trump has threated to put a 25% tariff on all imported goods from Canada and Mexico starting day one of his second term. And while there’s still a lot of uncertainty over whether the tariffs will actually go into effect, assume for a moment they do: would the Federal Reserve, operating under the mandate of stable prices, have to get involved?

“Tariffs affect the prices of some goods a lot more than others,” said Carola Binder, an economist at the University of Texas at Austin. “But the Fed doesn’t respond to relative price changes or to the price of a particular good rising. They respond to aggregate price changes.”

“If, somehow, they were to lead to persistently higher inflation, the Fed would want to respond to that,” said Binder in an interview with “Marketplace” host Kristin Schwab. “Personally, I’m a little reluctant to try to forecast what the effects would actually be.”

To hear the rest of their conversation, use the media player above.

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