inflation

The decline of a statistic known as personal income excluding transfers is seen as one indicator of a recession.

Production, new orders, imports and exports all increased, according to the latest Purchasing Managers Report from ISM. But according to the Labor Department, the economy has shed 66,000 manufacturing jobs over the past year.

In the April jobs report, inflation outstripped wage growth for the first time in three years. When the May jobs report comes out on Friday, we'll find out if that's a trend.

Dollar store chains are starting to report earnings for the first quarter of 2026, hinting at a growing consumer demand for deals.

The latest release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis shows the personal saving rate has dropped to its lowest point since June 2022.

Consumers now expect prices to rise 4.8% over the next year, up from 3.4% in February, and businesses and bond markets are signaling similar expectations.

Tax cuts don’t seem to be juicing the economy as promised.

The preliminary snapshot released earlier in the month was dismal, comparable to levels not seen since the huge post-COVID inflation spike.

The war in the Middle East is pushing up short-term government yields, on expectations that the Fed is increasingly likely to hike interest rates over the next two years.

And the war in the Middle East is to blame.