Consumers now expect prices to rise 4.8% over the next year, up from 3.4% in February, and businesses and bond markets are signaling similar expectations.
The war in the Middle East is pushing up short-term government yields, on expectations that the Fed is increasingly likely to hike interest rates over the next two years.
Inflation is the biggest challenge for 16% of respondents to a survey from the National Federation of Independent Business, the highest share in over a year.
Until ships start moving through the Strait of Hormuz, prices for oil and a range of related goods will likely keep rising. The question is, how long will it take them to come down again?