“It leaves some things out, but it is a very good gauge of the health of an economy,” said Allison Schrager, senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute and columnist at Bloomberg Opinion.
Consumer sentiment tumbled in early August, according to the University of Michigan survey. July retail sales were down more than half a percent from June, and AAA reports the nationwide average gas price neared a record high for August.
New delinquencies have largely stabilized after a big spike a couple of years ago, but lots of people are still carrying around old credit card debt they fell behind on.