The U.S. Energy Information Administration raised its Brent crude forecast to average around $90 a barrel for the second half of the year, about 5% higher than its last estimate.
U.S. refineries are operating at about 97% capacity as they compensate for global refining capacity lost to war damage elsewhere. Now, upcoming run-of-the-mill maintenance adds even more pressure on markets.
The U.S. says our forces in the Middle East have been keeping oil traffic flowing through the Strait of Hormuz, but independent trackers can't account for all of it.