U.S. refineries are operating at about 97% capacity as they compensate for global refining capacity lost to war damage elsewhere. Now, upcoming run-of-the-mill maintenance adds even more pressure on markets.
Oil companies that drill in West Texas are seeing big wartime profits, but many are holding back on aggressive capital spending, wary of repeating the boom-bust cycles that followed the pandemic when prices collapsed after a drilling surge.
China had more than a billion barrels of crude oil in reserve when the war in Iran disrupted the market. The country has also spent years diversifying its energy sources and accelerating electrification.
WTI, Brent and Dubai oil are the three major oil benchmarks that serve as reference prices for traders. Meanwhile, the sourness or sweetness of the oil dictates how complex the conversion process will be.
In the U.S., we’re paying more at the pump. Abroad, the war in the Middle East may have more dire and immediate effects — that’s especially true in South and Southeast Asia.