GDP grew in the first and second quarters this year, and economists expect it to continue in the third, but the tax refunds and stock market gains behind that growth are running out.
“It leaves some things out, but it is a very good gauge of the health of an economy,” said Allison Schrager, senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute and columnist at Bloomberg Opinion.
The overall GDP number was revised higher, up half a percent from the previous estimate. The topline number went up in part because we imported less than expected.
GDP rose at an annual rate of 2% from January to March, according to data out today from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. A big reason why: investment in AI.