Economy

The central bank invested in securities to get the economy through the pandemic recession.

Inflation’s been running hotter in areas that people have been moving into — and cooler where they’re moving out.

We take a look inside the world of economic forecasting and ask whether predictions are reliable.

The University of Michigan’s sentiment survey rose 9% in January, though it’s still near decade-lows.

The savings rate went up half a percentage point in December, but it’s still not back to pre-pandemic levels.

The economy grew, but not as much as expected. Some parts of the economy are slowing, but not as much as expected.

As mortgage rates have fallen from their peak above 7% late last year, the National Association of Home Builders confidence index has turned positive after 12 months of declines.

The personal consumption expenditures price index, better known as the PCE, tracks what we paid for goods and services in the previous month.

The Conference Board’s closely-watched index has fallen consistently since February 2022, indicating higher risk of recession.

Monthly data from the Federal Reserve shows a slowdown in shipments, new orders and employment in the sector.