Two months into the disruption of oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, a gap is opening between what financial markets expect oil to cost and what buyers are actually paying to get a physical barrel delivered today.
Companies are issuing record amounts of corporate debt this year, even though the war pushed up yields. Analysts say that could continue, especially as tech companies finance AI projects.
Meta, Google, Microsoft and Amazon report tomorrow. Apple reports on Thursday. These companies are so large that their earning reports can swing the stock market in either direction.
At the outset of the war in Iran, the dollar surged, likely because of the typical “flight to safety” behavior. But more recently, it’s been taking a beating.