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Nov 19, 2020

A deeper look at 2020 election polling and what went wrong

The postmortem is underway for why polls tended to miss how close the presidential election would be. Plus, early data on the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine candidate shows it seems to work especially well for adults in their 60s and 70s.

Social circle polling can be "like having a little window into the people that we may or may not have access to," says Jill Darling, survey director of the USC Daybreak poll. — Social circle polling can be "like having a little window into the people that we may or may not have access to," says Jill Darling, survey director of the USC Daybreak poll.
Sean Rayford/Getty Images

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Segments From This Episode

Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine, reporting strong efficacy results for elderly, may be easier to make and distribute
Marketplace’s Jasmine Garsd reports.
What the USC Daybreak poll got right and wrong about 2020 election predictions
by David Brancaccio and Daniel Shin
Sean Rayford/Getty Images
Asking people who they think their friends and family members will vote for may end up being a close estimate of actual election outcomes.
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Music from the episode

The Team

David Brancaccio Host
Victoria Craig Host, BBC
Stephen Ryan Senior Producer, BBC
Jonathan Frewin Producer, BBC
Daniel Shin Producer
Jay Siebold Technical Director
Meredith Garretson Morbey Senior Producer
Alex Schroeder Producer
Erika Soderstrom Producer
Rose Conlon Producer
Brian Allison Technical Director