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Perceptions that the economy's bad can cost you an election, even if the economy isn't actually bad

Mar 28, 2024
In 1992, voters’ perception that an improving economy was actually a bad economy contributed to Bush’s loss to Clinton. Could the same thing happen to Biden?
President George H. W.  Bush greets supporters ahead of a debate against soon-to-be President Bill Clinton in 1992. Bush blamed the media for pushing the narrative of a "bad" economy, despite positive economic indicators.
LUKE FRAZZA/AFP via Getty Images

In Taiwan's election, young voters focus on inflation, wages and war

Jan 12, 2024
The U.S. and China loom large over Taiwan's presidential and legislative elections on Jan. 13, but so do domestic bread-and-butter issues.
A man wearing a Team Taiwan jacket from the governing DPP party takes a photo of a group of supporters at a political rally in central Taipei.
Jennifer Pak/Marketplace

What really led to Trump's victory?

Apr 27, 2018
One political science professor says that the "left behind" argument isn't what really drove the outcome of the 2016 presidential election.
President Donald Trump speaks during election night at the New York Hilton Midtown in New York on Nov. 9, 2016.
JIM WATSON/AFP/Getty Images

Why democratic leaders can't deliver long-term economic growth

Political leaders tend to favor short-term policies.
Storm clouds fill the sky over the U.S. Capitol Building, June 13, 2013 in Washington, DC.
Mark Wilson/Getty Images

3 things you may have missed about Trump's budget

May 25, 2017
A look at how the education system could be impacted and how Trump's voter base might react.
 Copies of President Trump's fiscal year 2018 budget are stacked at the Government Publishing Office in Washington, D.C.
Mark Wilson/Getty Images

Cuban-American support for the GOP is eroding

Oct 17, 2016
Cuban-Americans were once reliably Republican, but not so anymore.
A supporter waves a Cuban flag in front of the country's embassy after re-opening in Washington, D.C. after 54 years. 
Mark Wilson/Getty Images

How the AP calls political races

May 4, 2016
Media use public data to determine electoral outcomes faster than the government can.

For public good, not for profit.

How to combat long lines at the polls

Nov 16, 2012
We may not be ready for online voting yet, but could simple planning and a longer voting period improve the election process?

On economy, young voters sound like everybody else

Nov 5, 2012
College students speak out on economic issues they're thinking about this election year, from taxes to the deficit.

Exit pollster reduces size of survey in non-swing states

Nov 5, 2012
Edison Research will divert resources from largely predictable states to swing states, 'where the news is.'