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When economic predictions are wrong

Jul 22, 2021
When we tell you about economic news, we’re always saying things like "numbers were higher (or lower) than expected." How much, then, should we consider economists’ expectations?
A once-in-a-lifetime pandemic has thrown a wrench in economic forecasting, economists say.
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Who thinks we're in for a recession? CFOs, a survey says

Dec 14, 2018
Duke University poll finds almost half think a slowdown will hit within a year
A board shows stock numbers on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Dec. 07.
Spencer Platt/Getty Images

Researchers want to predict future traffic

Apr 6, 2015
Microsoft is lending cloud computing power to traffic prediction research.

Inside the CIA's crystal ball for 2015

Jan 1, 2015
In 2000, the CIA made 70 pages worth of predictions for 2015. They didn't get everything right.