❗Help close the gap: We still need to raise $40,000 by the end of March. Donate now

As a recession fails to materialize, some economists are changing their tune

Nov 21, 2023
The Index of Leading Economic Indicators has been pointing to a slowdown for 19 months. It hasn't materialized.
Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

What's the best way to predict where the economy is headed?

Jul 20, 2023
Some question the predictive powers of the The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index, a past predictor of recessions.
While investors may be closely watching The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index, economists caution it may not be as predictive as it once was.
Timothy A. Clary/AFP via Getty Images

The immediate economic future looks bright, barring a few bumps down the road

Apr 20, 2018
The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index, which was up 0.3 percent in March, indicates the economy looks pretty good heading into summer and fall. The index crunches forward-looking measures like building permits, factory orders and unemployment claims to predict where the economy will be six months from now. And it looks as if the economy […]

Economists look for leading indicators to rebound after storms

Nov 20, 2017
The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index fell in September, partly from the effects of hurricanes in Texas and Florida.
Justin Sullivan/Getty Images