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Economic forecasting

Global economic growth will be almost cut in half this year — or will it?

by Nancy Marshall-Genzer
Apr 19, 2022
The IMF forecasts a slowdown in growth from 6.1% in 2021 to 3.6% in 2022. But the pandemic and the war could change its outlook.
The uncertainties of the pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war make it especially difficult to predict future economic conditions. Above, inside the New York Stock Exchange.
Spencer Platt/Getty Images
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What will inflation look like one year from now?

by Lily Jamali
Dec 9, 2021
Inflation is the highest it's been since the Reagan years — and still climbing. If it's this high now, what what will December 2022 will be like?
Economists think inflation is likely to persist in 2022. To what extent? That's harder to say. Above, traders on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Dec. 8.
Spencer Platt via Getty Images
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When economic predictions are wrong

by Marielle Segarra
Jul 22, 2021
When we tell you about economic news, we’re always saying things like "numbers were higher (or lower) than expected." How much, then, should we consider economists’ expectations?
A once-in-a-lifetime pandemic has thrown a wrench in economic forecasting, economists say.
Spencer Platt via Getty Images
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