Leading economic indicators stubbornly point to a recession. It still hasn't arrived.

Aug 17, 2023
So are the indicators wrong, or have we just not waited long enough?
“If this recession happens, it will be the most predicted recession — like, ever,” said former Federal Reserve economist Claudia Sahm.
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Leading economic indicators fall — again

Jan 25, 2023
The Conference Board's closely-watched index has fallen consistently since February 2022, indicating higher risk of recession.
The closely-watched Index of Leading Economic Indicators fell in its latest report, painting a gloomy macroeconomic picture for the near future.
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Does declining consumer confidence lead to lower spending?

Jul 26, 2022
The mood worsened for the third straight month, but many Americans have financial cushions.
As the labor market cools, economist Betsey Stevenson predicts consumer spending will too. For some lower-income households, that’s already happening.
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Many ready to splurge as consumer confidence builds up

May 25, 2021
Two-thirds of consumers are still hesitant to regularly venture out of their homes, but that doesn't mean they won't be spending.
Thirty percent of those surveyed say they’ll spend more money on travel and dining.
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What is consumer confidence, anyway?

Nov 26, 2019
The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index has fallen for the fourth straight month, but what does that really mean?
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The immediate economic future looks bright, barring a few bumps down the road

Apr 20, 2018
The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index, which was up 0.3 percent in March, indicates the economy looks pretty good heading into summer and fall. The index crunches forward-looking measures like building permits, factory orders and unemployment claims to predict where the economy will be six months from now. And it looks as if the economy […]