The rebound was especially strong after the U.S. and China reached a temporary deal to lower mutual tariffs.

But the LEI’s declines are slowing and it’s no longer warning of a recession ahead. Plus, other economic indicators are looking positive.

So are the indicators wrong, or have we just not waited long enough?

The Conference Board’s closely-watched index has fallen consistently since February 2022, indicating higher risk of recession.

The mood worsened for the third straight month, but many Americans have financial cushions.

Two-thirds of consumers are still hesitant to regularly venture out of their homes, but that doesn’t mean they won’t be spending.

The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index has fallen for the fourth straight month, but what does that really mean?