Nov 19, 2020

A deeper look at 2020 election polling and what went wrong

Social circle polling can be "like having a little window into the people that we may or may not have access to," says Jill Darling, survey director of the USC Daybreak poll. Sean Rayford/Getty Images

The postmortem is underway for why polls tended to miss how close the presidential election would be. Plus, early data on the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine candidate shows it seems to work especially well for adults in their 60s and 70s.

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Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine, reporting strong efficacy results for elderly, may be easier to make and distribute

Marketplace’s Jasmine Garsd reports.

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Elections 2020

What the USC Daybreak poll got right and wrong about 2020 election predictions

by David Brancaccio and Daniel Shin

Nov 19, 2020

Asking people who they think their friends and family members will vote for may end up being a close estimate of actual election outcomes.

Social circle polling can be "like having a little window into the people that we may or may not have access to," says Jill Darling, survey director of the USC Daybreak poll.

Sean Rayford/Getty Images

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Music from the episode

Wicked Game Chris Isaak

The team

David Brancaccio Host

Victoria Craig Host, BBC

Stephen Ryan Senior Producer, BBC

Jonathan Frewin Producer, BBC

Daniel Shin Producer

Jay Siebold Technical Director

Brian Allison Engineer

Meredith Garretson Morbey Senior Producer

Erika Soderstrom Producer

Rose Conlon Producer

Alex Schroeder Producer

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