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Betting markets knew something all those pollsters didn’t
Nov 7, 2024

Betting markets knew something all those pollsters didn’t

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Traditional polls showed a toss-up for the presidential election. Betting markets predicted a Trump win.

Segments From this episode

Investments and the price of the U.S. dollar

Where informed investors are putting their money is a useful guide for anyone trying to understand how the economy could shift in the second Donald Trump administration. Let’s consult Lauren Goodwin, chief market strategist at New York Life Investments.

Prediction markets got Trump's victory right

Nov 7, 2024
And at least this time, these betting markets knew something traditional forecasters didn’t.
Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post via Getty Images

On the Fed's interest rates and mortgage rates

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut its benchmark interest rate by a quarter point today,. But for those looking to buy or sell a home, the Fed’s cut may mean little in terms of improving long-term borrowing costs. We’ll learn more.

The team

Leanna Byrne Host, BBC
Kelly Silvera Executive Producer
Meredith Garretson Morbey Senior Producer
Alex Schroeder Producer
Erika Soderstrom Producer
Ariana Rosas Producer
Nic Perez Director/Producer
Dylan Miettinen Digital Producer
John Bruington Media Producer
Jesson Duller Media Producer
Brian Allison Technical Director
James Graham Producer, BBC
Jo Critcher Producer, BBC
Naomi Rainey Producer, BBC