Marketplace Logo Donate

Daily business news and economic stories from Marketplace

Consumers believe we’ll see lower inflation and a strong job market later this year

Heard on:
Gustavo Duque shops at Shell Lumber and Hardware home improvement store on July 13, 2022 in Miami, Florida.

Consumers are increasingly pessimistic about the economy, according to the latest consumer confidence data. Joe Raedle/Getty Images

get the podcast

The latest Consumer Sentiment Index for March from the University of Michigan is out, and consumers are not optimistic about the economy. The measurement registered its first drop in four months as inflation and turmoil in the financial sector add to economic uncertainty.

We’ve already seen evidence that consumers are fairly pessimistic about certain parts of the economy. But it’s not all doom and gloom.

One thing that remains clear, though, is that inflation remains a giant economic buzzkill.

“Yeah, I don’t think anyone’s comfortable with such high prices,” said Jennifer Lee, senior economist with BMO Capital Markets.

In the longer term, early survey data from the University of Michigan found that people expect less inflation.

“It shows that consumers are probably thinking that we’re finally starting to get a handle on inflation,” Lee said.

People are also more optimistic when you ask them about jobs, said Ataman Ozyildirim at the Conference Board, which also surveyed consumers recently.

“In terms of their expectations, six months hence, consumers were slightly more positive about labor market conditions,” he said.

Ozyildirim also thinks people are planning to spend less on highly discretionary purchases.

Categories that you could give up easily, like playing the lottery, or visiting amusement parks, even going to the movies,” he said.

On the other hand, people say they plan to spend more on necessities including health care, auto maintenance and home repair.

What's Next

Latest Episodes From Our Shows

Listen
May 26, 2023
28:44
Listen
May 26, 2023
28:11
Listen
May 26, 2023
1:50
Listen
May 26, 2023
8:44
Listen
May 26, 2023
9:06
Listen
May 26, 2023
18:56
Listen
May 25, 2023
42:08
Exit mobile version