After a 3-month borrowing spree, corporations put the brakes on more debt
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As the economy slowed down at the outset of the coronavirus pandemic, a lot of corporations opted to ride out the slowdown by borrowing up a storm. Corporate borrowing soared over the last few months as companies took advantage of low interest rates to pay their bills with borrowed money. But new data from the outfit Refinitiv shows that corporate borrowing dropped last week to its lowest level since early March.
When companies were piling on debt back in March, April and May, the economic picture was far from clear, said Steven Davidoff Solomon, corporate law professor at the University of California, Berkeley.
“But I think companies have a better idea of what’s going on now,” he said.
Solomon said some companies have an optimistic outlook. They’re looking at rising job numbers, increasing business activity and growth in the service sector — at least for now.
So instead of borrowing more, “companies are probably saying, look, we have enough right now. Let’s see where things go, and we’ll take it from there,” Solomon said.
Then there are companies that are feeling pessimistic. Collin Martin, a fixed-income strategist at the Schwab Center for Financial Research, said borrowing won’t help some companies make it through the pandemic.
“A lot of energy companies, when you look at retail companies, brick-and-mortar stores that were already deteriorating before this happened, clearly that outlook’s pretty negative right now,” Martin said.
He added that companies in those riskier sectors might be worried about defaulting on their existing debt.
“We’ve actually seen the number of corporate defaults pick up,” Martin said. “It’s actually been rising at the fastest pace since 2009.”
Then there are the cautious companies, borrowing less because they’re counting on an economic recovery later this year.
“What we’ll have to watch for is whether people that thought we’d get back to normal in the third quarter all of a sudden decide that that was a premature forecast,” said Jim Vogel, interest-rate strategist at FHN Financial.
And if the economy doesn’t improve, “we’ll see another round of borrowing as people have a better handle on what their own financial situation is,” Vogel said.
We’ll get a better sense of how much corporations are willing to borrow, Vogel said, as they report their quarterly earnings later this month.
COVID-19 Economy FAQs
What’s going on with extra COVID-19 unemployment benefits?
The latest: President Donald Trump signed an executive action directing $400 extra a week in unemployment benefits. But will that aid actually reach people? It’s still unclear. Trump directed federal agencies to send $300 dollars in weekly aid, taken from the federal disaster relief fund, and called on states to provide an additional $100. But states’ budgets are stretched thin as it is.
What’s the latest on evictions?
For millions of Americans, things are looking grim. Unemployment is high, and pandemic eviction moratoriums have expired in states across the country. And as many people already know, eviction is something that can haunt a person’s life for years. For instance, getting evicted can make it hard to rent again. And that can lead to spiraling poverty.
Which retailers are requiring that people wear masks when shopping? And how are they enforcing those rules?
Walmart, Target, Lowe’s, CVS, Home Depot, Costco — they all have policies that say shoppers are required to wear a mask. When an employee confronts a customer who refuses, the interaction can spin out of control, so many of these retailers are telling their workers to not enforce these mandates. But, just having them will actually get more people to wear masks.
You can find answers to more questions on unemployment benefits and COVID-19 here.
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