The Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, the site of the 2016 Democratic National Convention, left, and the Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, the site of the 2016 Republican National Convention.
The Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, the site of the 2016 Democratic National Convention, left, and the Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, the site of the 2016 Republican National Convention. - 
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Cleveland and Philadelphia are hoping for economic windfalls from this summer’s presidential nominating conventions. Cleveland will host the Republicans. The Democrats will meet in Philadelphia.

The big question for both cities is, will the economic benefits outweigh the costs of hosting the conventions?

Craig Adams owns a local flooring company in Cleveland.

“Oh yeah, definitely,” Craig Adams said during an informal street survey in Cleveland.

He owns a local flooring company. It’s a great time to be in construction in Cleveland, because the downtown is undergoing a major face-lift for the convention. 

Adams estimated this year, he’ll gross “at least $500,000 more than we did last year," he said. "But these are big jobs.  Like, we’re doing the Drury Hotel.”

Adams points across the street at Cleveland’s old Board of Education Building, which he’s helping turn into the hotel.

William Mahnic teaches finance at Case Western Reserve University in Cleveland. He ticks off the benefits of a convention. Free-spending delegates, improvements to the city’s infrastructure, national exposure. And he added, the convention will put Clevelanders in a good mood.

“When good things are happening around you, you feel more confident about the future," he said. "When you’re more confident about the future, you’re willing to spend more today, rather than dig a hole and hide it.”

 Victor Matheson, teaches economics at the College of the Holy Cross in Worcester, Massachusetts, maintains there’s no guarantee of those intangible benefits.

“Remember, all of these are predicated on everything going well," he said. "And boy, these conventions sure look contentious, at least at this point.”

Cleveland's old Board of Education building is being turned into a hotel.
Cleveland's old Board of Education building is being turned into a hotel. - 

Matheson said those infrastructure improvements were just sped up, and would have been done anyway.

He said, yes, the host cities will get a bump up from the delegates’ spending. But many locals will stay home during the convention. Their spending will fall. And Matheson insists lots of convention dollars go to big corporations, like hotels.

“That ends up in the shareholders pockets, back at corporate headquarters in New York City," he said.

Back in downtown Cleveland, Adams — the flooring guy — sees both sides. He’s thrilled with the extra business he’s getting. But he does wonder if all of the new hotels will still be full after the convention.

Follow Nancy Marshall-Genzer at @MarshallGenzer