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Why Main Street hates Wall Street

People rallying in front of the NY Stock Exchange on Thursday.

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TEXT OF INTERVIEW

KAI RYSSDAL: Maybe you disagree, but I think there's something visceral going on here in this debate about the bailout bill. There've been dire warnings from people who know pretty much all there is to know about the workings of high finance that if we don't do something, bad things are going to happen.

Politicians have been saying the same thing. Worth noting because polticians don't like to deliver bad news. Still, a majority in the House voted against a bailout on Monday, in large part because they were swamped by complaints from their constituents. Those are constituents who, it stands to reason, would be harmed by whatever bad things happen, but who seem to really want to stick it to Wall Street.

Dan Ariely's a behavioral economist at Duke University and an occasional contributor to this program. Dan, good to talk to you.

DAN ARIELY: Thank you. Nice to be here.

RYSSDAL: What is it about the human condition that just wants revenge out of a scenario like this?

ARIELY: Well, there's actually quite a few things, but let me first describe to you a little experiment that we and other people have done. It's called the trust game. Now, imagine that you and I each get $10, and you're the first mover and you decide whether to give your $10 to me or to keep it. If you keep it, we both go home. If you pass it to me, that $10 quadruples. So now I have your $10, it became $40, plus my $10, I have $50. I can split it in two and give you half and I get half and we both go home happy. Or, I can take the whole $50 and go home.

RYSSDAL: And I have nothing.

ARIELY: And you have nothing. Now, here's the kink. What happens after we do this game and I take the $50 and go home, you have a chance to take revenge against me. What if I tell you, "Look, for every dollar you spend, I will lose $2." Would you take revenge against me?

RYSSDAL: Well, yeah, 'cause you're leaving with 50 bucks and I have nothing.

ARIELY: That's right. So when you do this experiment in a PET machine, in a machine that scans people's brains, what we see happening is that the same area of the brain that reacts to rewards -- things like food and sex and heroin, to good things -- also reacts to planning revenge. Which basically means that revenge is actually rewarding.

RYSSDAL: But let me ask you this in the present circumstance with the bailout bill. Arguably, the thing was designed to make everybody's life a little bit better -- whether or not they believed that, I suppose, is a relevant question -- but by calling their congressman and saying, Vote no because we want to punish -- under your theory -- the Wall Street people, don't they sort of hurt themselves?

ARIELY: That's right. But right now what we're doing is we're willing to sacrifice money -- the same way that you were willing to sacrifice $3 or $7 to punish me -- people are willing to suffer to get this (you know, I don't know what's a polite way to call this) . . . . people on Wall Street. . . . But people are willing to lose money to get those people to suffer more. In fact, I've asked people about this. Everybody feels this anger. They have violated, in a very important way, a social contract in the same way that I would have violated the social contract of you giving me your $10 and me walking away with $50.

RYSSDAL: Given our motives for revenge, is there a way that Congress can shape a bill that's going to make it acceptable to people whose constituents really want to punish Wall Street?

ARIELY: Yes. So I think we need to include revenge in the bill. There was discussion about capping CEO salaries, which I think went a small way into revenge. But I think there are two ways to include revenge in the bill. One way is to say every time we are going to nationalize something, we are going to take the stock option of these people in these banks, right? We will make them pay for nationalizing it. That's one approach. The second approach is to build into the system future revenge. So another thing we can do is we can decide that the bill will actually force us to create a new code of punishment for people on Wall Street. And we have an opportunity here, with a meltdown that's so dramatic, that we feel that there is a need to go back and try and reshape the whole system. And that might actually be very, very useful in the long term.

RYSSDAL: Dan Ariely is a professor of behavioral economics at Duke University. His book on these sorts of things is called "Predictably Irrational." Dan, thanks a lot.

ARIELY: My pleasure. Thank you.

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Gerri Gribi's picture
Gerri Gribi - Oct 2, 2008

What we realists on Main Street know is bailout or not, WE are going to suffer for the arrogant mistakes and outright fraud perpetrated by these Masters of the Universe. If desiring that they share in our suffering a teeny weeny bit (or at least, don't end up profiting from it as they usually do) is considered "revenge" well then I guess I'm revengeful.

Jan Huddleston's picture
Jan Huddleston - Oct 2, 2008

The presumption behind this piece was that anyone opposed to the bailout plan solely wants to "punish" Wall Street. There was no mention made of the current state of the U.S. economy---the size of the current deficit, the impending Social Security crisis (which neither presidential candidate is addressing, the cost of two wars with no end in site for either of them. Perhaps there are many of us who fear the impact of a plan that Rep. Boehner himself said "might work" on our already dreadfully managed federal budget.

Kate Adams's picture
Kate Adams - Oct 2, 2008

Revenge? No. It's one thing to fail in one's fiduciary duty by playing fast and loose with other people's money. Bringing the entire banking system to its knees is a whole 'nother kettle of fish. (And yes, it smells. Fishy, in fact.) It is unconscionable that those most responsible for the mess would be largely immune from its repercussions. If the word "revenge" makes you uncomfortable, think of it as properly incentivizing CEOs and others to behave themselves.

CEOs should be thankful that most folks are only calling for fines and disgorgement of ill-gotten gains. Other primate species deal with the ones who've endangered the tribe by killing them and their offspring or sending them to fend off the long teeth and claws of predators without the protection of the group. We're altogether more merciful in how we deal with those who have broken faith with their tribe.

Don Stoneman's picture
Don Stoneman - Oct 2, 2008

I, too, was very much offended by this piece. Would Kia also say that Jefferson, Adams and the minutemen reacted irrationally just because they received pleasure from wanting to "stick it to Britain"? I agree as well with the post about Kia's delivery on the show: no matter how bad the news, he's always glib about it. This is a VERY serious matter.

Dan Ariely's picture
Dan Ariely - Oct 2, 2008

I worry that the main point was not clear -- this was not about if the bailout is right or wrong -- it was about some of the barriers to moving forward.

It was also not about people being stupid -- just about our human nature.

Finally it was not suggesting that revenge is the whole story -- just a part of it

Irrationally yours

Dan

Jimmy O's picture
Jimmy O - Oct 2, 2008

Don't blame Kai. Blame me. I say those constituents that pressured their reps to vote no are out for revenge.

Stewart Smith's picture
Stewart Smith - Oct 2, 2008

Indeed, as most writers note, the resistance to the plan has little to do with revenge. To me, its about credibility; the administration's lack of it with respect to just about everything, and the lack of credibility of a plan which proposes to borrow 700B with little or no talk of how it will be paid off. If they had the guts to say Tax Increase, I would at least concede some credibility.

A Walker's picture
A Walker - Oct 2, 2008

I think that most of the comments miss the main point of your guest. The point is that this bail-out/rescue bill seems to ignore the huge social contract that has been violated by all the people we're supposed to trust, and asks us to simply turn our heads and walk away. This is not the only story that this 30-min show has done on this topic in the past 2 weeks, and I seriously doubt that a national public radio show would in any way attempt to insult the rationality or psychological stability of their listeners.

Chris Hofland's picture
Chris Hofland - Oct 2, 2008

The reward centers of my brain are tingling at the thought of my wreaking vengeance on you by telling you how insulting, condescending, and unprofessional this story was.

I am a regular listener to your show. I even make a point of getting out of the house early to catch the morning report on my commute.

I don't always agree with Marketplace, because it presents diverse views -- and, of course, that's a lot of its attraction.

I am certain that this bailout is the wrong thing to do, that it won't work, that it will make a bad sitution a LONG bad situation, and that it rewards bad behavior -- by market participants and by the government that now comes to "rescue" us.

You certainly can disagree with those points, but to dismiss them, and to dismiss me, as products of some mental abberation is below you.

Shame.

I even like your show enough to say that this is an interesting topic -- brain studies and economic behavior. But if you couldn't see the subtext, then you have to consider your mental process wasn't entirely rational, either, was it?

Now, how about a story about how an admininstration that is staggering toward its ignoble end, having failed on many fronts, calls out for an unprecedented drastic action, and a majority of Americans see this for the pathetic power grab that it is -- yet a large block of politicians, opinion makers, and journalists are completely gullible. What is going on in THEIR heads?

I will continue to listen to Marketplace, because it's worth listening to. How about showing me -- us -- the courtesy of acting like we're worth listening to, as well?

Colin Olson's picture
Colin Olson - Oct 1, 2008

I normally find Marketplace to be a relatively informative program but was deeply disappointed by this piece. While the psychological aspect of revenge is certainly interesting and informative, its inclusion and Kai's presentation of the story turned a report about the bailout into a one-sided hit piece. Kai derisively implied throughout the report that those who are against the bailout in its current incarnation were motivated solely by revenge. This is simply false.
While revenge likely plays a part in many people's resistance to the bailout, it is wrong to imply that it is the sole motivator. Kai is talking about the bailout as if it is the only possible plan. He also seems to believe that it will definitely solve the problem. Neither of these assumptions is accurate. Many economists have argued that other options should be considered. There is also the danger that the plan will not work and a strong possibility that it will make things worse in the long run.
Kai mentioned that people with financial knowledge are saying that this bailout is absolutely necessary and therefore we should listen to them. He is referring to the same group of people who were "in the know" about WMD in Iraq, who argued for the last few years that there was nothing wrong with the shadow banking system, who failed to prevent an obvious housing bubble by playing fast and loose with monetary policy, and who gave us this mess in the first place with their reckless gambling on shaky derivatives and other exotic securities. What kind of evidence does Kai need to see before he will think twice about swallowing and then regurgitating the line from a thoroughly discredited administration and its free-market ideologues?
Furthermore, it is not beyond reason to consider that Hank Paulson's background as CEO of Goldman Sachs might, at a minimum, affect his view of the world and the type of rescue plan that he would propose. This certainly seems to be the case given the total lack of support for homeowners, whose woes underlie this entire sorry tale. It is completely reasonable to consider a plan that would try to help the financial system from the bottom-up rather than the top-down.
In addition, Kai chooses to ignore the unprecedented degree of power that would be bequeathed to Mr. Paulson. Perhaps all those "revenge-seeking populists" are merely well-versed in Constitutional law?
Finally (during other points in the show), Kai gleefully latched on to any evidence that the tone of letters sent to lawmakers was changing as a result of movements in the market. Competent reporters and many non-professional observers recognize that market movements do not reflect economic fundamentals and are most certainly driven by the psychology of fear that is currently being promulgated by the administration.
Shame on Kai for his one-sided and completely simplistic presentation. I will never again listen to Marketplace without suspicion.

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