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The non-organic future

A ladybug crawls on an organic bean plant growing in the land between tarmacs at the former El Toro Marine base in Orange County, Calif.

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Tess Vigeland: The United Nations says a billion people go hungry on this planet each day. And the overall population is growing. Experts expect we'll top 9 billion by 2045. The looming question: How to feed everyone with limited resources? This week, several major foundations -- including Ford and Gates -- launched a $3 million a year initiative aimed at figuring out how to come up with the food we need.

From the Marketplace Sustainability Desk, Adriene Hill looks at what the answer might involve -- and what it might not.


Adriene Hill: The farmers markets in Los Angeles these days are piled high with organic strawberries and kale. To the contented shoppers, this is what the future should be -- fruits and veggies grown on small farms, nearby the city. But, get over it. This isn't the future -- not if we want to feed everyone.

Pedro Sanchez: If you ask me point blank whether organic-based farming is better than conventional, my answer is no.

That's Columbia University's Pedro Sanchez.

Sanchez: There are just too many of us, we just need too many nutrients.

And those nutrients come from plants that need nutrients that organic fertilizers can't always provide.

Sanchez: It's like a bank account, you've got to have a positive balance.

And if you deposit only organics he says...

Sanchez: You're going to go broke.

One reason experts say organic farming isn't the big-scale answer...

Mark Rosegrant: Organic production tends to have somewhat lower yields compared to non-organics.

Mark Rosegrant is with the International Food Policy Research Institute, an organization focused on sustainable ways to end hunger. He says going all organic would require a whole lot more land. Organic farming is, Rosegrant says, a niche market. It's not bad, per se, but...

Rosegrant: It's not an important part of the overall process to feed 9 billion people.

The Economist recently had a special issue on global food supplies. One piece ended with the thought that the reaction against commercial farming -- with it's dependence on chemicals -- is "a luxury of the rich."

So what does the future of farming look like? Rosegrant thinks that genetically-modified crops have to play a part -- especially as pollution causes the planet warms up.

Rosegrant: I think we do think it's part of the toolbox going forward, that for example to get some of the drought tolerance or other kinds of heat tolerance.

The future may also involve more creative farming.


Organic squash grows in the land between tarmacs at the former El Toro Marine base in Orange County, Calif.

AG Kawamura: We're in the middle of what used to be the El Toro Marine base. We're on an airport actually, and we're farming in the open areas between the tarmac.

AG Kawamura is a third-generation farmer. He also is the former California secretary of Agriculture. The afternoon sun bounces off concrete runways and rows of small organic yellow squash. Kawamura and his brother grow organic and conventional crops.

Kawamura: Globally, the idea, it's going to be a big tent. There's big agriculture, small agriculture, there's room for all.

When you grow lots of food, in lots of ways, in lots of places, Kawamura says, droughts and floods and bugs that chomp down on crops become less of a problem. The future may also involve eating differently.

Mark Bittman: We need to address what diet looks like in the developed world and what diet looks like in the developing world, and how to sort of balance things out.

Mark Bittman is a food columnist for the New York Times and the author of "The Food Matters Cookbook." His mantra -- more veggies, less meat. Animals takes a lot more water and food to grow than plants.

Bittman: We hear a lot about how the Chinese are eating more like us, but the reality is we need to be eating more like the Chinese.

For the billion of underfed people in the world today, there are a billion-and-a-half that are overweight. That too needs to change, Bittman says, as we all start thinking more about what we eat.

I'm Adriene Hill for Marketplace.

Vigeland: When do you buy organic? Adriene asked each of her experts that question. For their answers, and to share yours -- take a look at her blog post.


Read: A note from the editor

About the author

Adriene Hill hosts Marketplace Money and reports for the Marketplace sustainability desk, with a focus on consumer issues and the individual relationship to sustainability and the environment.

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Jasmin Saidi's picture
Jasmin Saidi - May 4, 2011

I beg to differ. More and more communities are turning to communal farms even in the grittiest urban environments, e.g. Detroit, and South Central LA growing organic and keeping the food supply local. The more local and self sufficient we (in the industrialized world) become in our food supply, the less we will have to rely on outside sources and reducing the pressure we place on the global food supply chain. Many in the non-industrialized or 3rd world have become so dependent on a mono-culture form of agriculture and lost touch with their indigenous farming practices leaving them very little to fall back on when faced with drought conditions and pressures brought on to purchase GMO seeds. GMOs are NOT the answer, unless, this report was quietly funded by non other than Monsanto or another biotech group. Please do a more comprehensive report where you interview scientists and agricultural experts who think otherwise. Check out documentaries like "Future of Food," "Dirt," "Food Inc.", "Save the Farm," just a handful of great information on farming on a local and global level. Thank you.

Michael Kuehnert's picture
Michael Kuehnert - May 4, 2011

When we enter this debate we must include urban farming, the movement that is taking the nation by storm. Cities need to rezone to give access to land for people to grow their own food. The solution is happening from the bottom up. There's a great movie coming out soon, SAVE THE FARM, an emotional account of a LA Urban farm and the attempts to save it. www.savethefarmmovie.com
http://www.facebook.com/savethefarmmovie

Nefert-tmu Inipu's picture
Nefert-tmu Inipu - May 4, 2011

This is such a load of rubbish. Organics don't have the nutrients to feed 9 billion people? Do pesticides with all their poisons; poisons to the farmer, poisons to the consumer, poisons to the earth, poisons to the water have the nutrition to feed the world!?!? Of course not. Does no one care about all the casualties of "conventional" agriculture? Isn't Monsanto a big contributor to Marketplace? I bet you've made them proud.

Organics are the only sustainable form of agriculture; they are good for all the humans, animals, and ecosystems involved in the process, that is something that cannot be said about "conventional" agriculture. Please try to put more thought into future stories about agriculture.

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