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Why are we outraged over high gas prices?

The rising gas prices in the early part of this year could put a damper on the recovery, specifically consumer spending.

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Behavioral economist Sendhil Mullainathan.

Kai Ryssdal: Crude oil close down today -- first time in a week that's happened. Gas prices, though? Yeah, still goin' the other way, despite what Eve Troeh was telling us earlier about New Gingrich's plans. And yes, gas prices are crazy making, I grant you that. But do a little math with me for a second. A gallon of regular unleaded costs 14 cents more today than it did last week. So say your tank is 16 gallons, you fill up once a week, that means net out-of-pocket increase to you is $2.24. Just about what you might spend at Starbucks every day. And yet, gas prices are... just one of those things. Sendhil Mullainathan teaches behavioral economics at Harvard University. Here's here to talk about that a little bit. Sendhil, how are you?

Sendhil Mullainathan: Good Kai. You ever wonder why there's such furor about gas prices recently?

Ryssdal: No. Because gas is expensive man and I have to fill up the minivan and it costs me $60. That's why there's a furor.

Mullainathan: First of all, you shouldn't have a minivan Kai. But we can talk about that some other time. It is interesting because it's only one price out of so many prices out there. And it's funny that we end up focusing so much on this particular one.

Ryssdal: Well, so here's my theory. Right? And you're the behavioral economist. But it's because we see it all the bleepin' time, right? I mean, I can tell you chapter and verse what gas is on my way to work, but I don't necessarily know what the price of a dozen eggs is.

Mullainathan: I think that's exactly right and I think that's the most interesting part of this story. So they do these amazing stories where they catch people coming out supermarkets. And they take the receipt and they look at them and say, 'You know, you just bought some toothpaste. How much did it cost?' People have no idea.

Ryssdal: Not a clue, yeah.

Mullainathan: People go shopping, we spend on so many things, and we just don't know. We don't know the prices of things. But gasoline, even when you're not buying, it's staring you in the face. Psychologists call this salience. And the salience of gas prices, I think, makes it such a focal point in the debate.

Ryssdal: Does salience literally mean how present it is in society or how salient it is to our lives? 'Cause if I'm taking mass transit in Manhattan, I don't care how gas prices are. Right?

Mullainathan: It's both how present it is and how important it is. For example, low-income people know the prices of everything they buy because it matters to them. Middle income and higher-income people, we can afford not to know. And so it's partly that. But partly it's amazing -- even when the $100 doesn't take a big bite of paycheck because I know you're getting wealthy off of public radio.

Ryssdal: Public radio, that's right.

Mullainathan: It's still being able to see it repeatedly. So there are some great studies on alcohol: If you add the taxes before and you see it in the sticker price, people respond to it. But if it's added after, people don't really respond as much. So there is just an 'Is it there at all' that's pretty important.

Ryssdal: Here's another question though: How come, and we're seeing now in California, we are seeing $4.35. I saw $4.39 for regular on the way in, which is approaching where it got the last time it hit the highs. So I'm aware of it, I'm seeing it, but I'm not outraged yet. But when it hits $4.75, people are going to be PO'd. You know what I mean? What's the thing about we've seen this price before, it's not a big deal; but a new high is a new high?

Mullainathan: I think there are two elements here. One is the new high and in many, many places there sort of reference points get set. Once you see a house get sold at $500,000, selling it back at $475,000 is hard. But the other element of is there are these discrete points. $5 is... It's almost like the stock market -- 'Oh wow, we've broken through $5.' In marketing, you definitely see this. Things that price at $4.99 sell very differently than things that price at $5.

Ryssdal: Are we better consumers if the price of toothpaste was in 8-inch-high letters of the shelves? Would that make us smarter and better?

Mullainathan: I think in a very narrow sense it would. And that's what I think some economists think of it as -- oh, now I pay attention to prices. But if you zoom back a little bit and think of it almost like a behavioral economist and say, 'I have a limited amount of attention, is that how I really want to focus on it?' And even gas prices, you often wonder about that. For somebody for whom they're going to buy a certain amount of gas irrespective of the price, should they really spend so much time thinking about the price of gas? It doesn't affect anything they do.

Ryssdal: Right. You gotta buy gas, you gotta buy gas. Right?

Mullainathan: Exactly.

Ryssdal: Sendhil Mullainathan, he teaches behavioral economics at Harvard. Sendhil, thanks a lot.

Mullainathan: Thank you, Kai.

About the author

Sendhil Mullainathan is a professor of economics at Harvard University and Founder of ideas42, a nonprofit organization devoted to taking insights about people from behavioral economics and using it to create novel policies, interventions, and products.

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mydiscus46's picture
mydiscus46 - Mar 24, 2012

The gas prices are high do to rich people . Who need to change places with us less fortunate lowincome people and see how they like it !!!!!!!!!!

Herb Wexler's picture
Herb Wexler - Mar 6, 2012

In 1973 when I first started driving a Burger King Whopper and a gallon of gas both cost $.65. Both were important fuels for a teenage boy.

Several times over the last few years I've checked the price of whoppers and it has always been close to the price of a gallon of gasoline. Occasionally they were exactly the same. For example on June 13th 2007 a whopper was $3.39 and a gallon of gas at a nearby station was also $3.39. On April 12 2011 a Whopper was $3.89 and gas was $3.97. Last Saturday March 3rd 2012 a Burger King Whopper was 3.89 and a block away gas was 3.95

It’s fascinating that with such different products, with such different stresses on the individual components such as disease or war that the prices have tracked so closely over almost 40 years.

Minivan Man's picture
Minivan Man - Feb 28, 2012

I kind of quit listening after Kai was told he shouldn't be driving a minivan. Doesn't Kai have about 4 kids? So, what is more economical, safe, and practical than a minivan when it comes to transporting up to 4 kids and 2 adults, especially when one adds luggage?

hikealot's picture
hikealot - Feb 28, 2012

All I can say is “Really!?” What a ridiculous news piece. The next time toothpaste prices increase the cost of everything else in my life, I’ll probably start to notice what it costs to buy. You fellas might not be part of the 1%, but you must not be very well connected with the way the rest of us live; maybe your part of the 2%.

Jim, Crooked River Ranch, OR

CommonSense's picture
CommonSense - Feb 28, 2012

I'm very disappointed on the quality of this report. And this guy teaches at Harvard! Dumbing down now has gone viral!
Think about it, people complain about gas price because it is the larget proportional expense and there is no substitute for gasoline!
Toothpaste, even at $5 will not make a big dent proportionally in your expense.
And that's why well to do folks may not worry about certain expense. For a lifestyle, that say, spends $1000 on frivilous monthly expense - $5 a gas in not too high!

You need to redo this story and get someone who understands a hosehold budget not a reasercher who has no clue on real life issues!

or, I want my NPR contribution back!!

CommonSense's picture
CommonSense - Feb 28, 2012

I'm very disappointed on the quality of this report. And this guy teaches at Harvard! Dumbing down now has gone viral!
Think about it, people complain about gas price because it is the larget proportional expense and there is no substitute for gasoline!
Toothpaste, even at $5 will not make a big dent proportionally in your expense.
And that's why well to do folks may not worry about certain expense. For a lifestyle, that say, spends $1000 on frivilous monthly expense - $5 a gas in not too high!

You need to redo this story and get someone who understands a hosehold budget not a reasercher who has no clue on real life issues!

or, I want my NPR contribution back!!

sgudell's picture
sgudell - Feb 28, 2012

I am very dissapointed in your analysis of gas prices. The saliency of them is not about the prices staring us in the face all the time. It translates into how much it costs to travel to work, heat our homes, and pay for the products in the grocery store like that tube of toothpaste you were speaking about.
The real issue is how much the price of fuel has increase since 2003 -2004. Back then it cost between $1.50 and $2.00 per gallon. At that time it cost me $50.00 to fill my F250 so that i could go to work as a contractor. Today, I have the same truck, and it costs $120.00+ to fill up. The house that I bought in 2003 cost $3000.00 to heat a season. If we had not had such a mild winter it would have cost about $7,000.00 to heat, and if fuel is over $5.00/gal next winter it will cost $10,000.00 to heat. In 2003, I was making $65.00/hr, working 50 weeks a year. Today I make between $40 and $50.00/hr and have huge gaps in my employment that reduces my hourly wage even further. The real issue is that the cost per gallon has actually increased between $3.00 and $3.50 since the "recession" began, and actual wages and income have dropped below where they were nine years ago. Each penny that fuel costs increase correlates to less money for food, clothes, lights, extra cash to help boost the economy, and puts you in a place where you do not know if you can afford to heat your house, travel to work, or feed your family all at the same time. This is a much more serious issue than you made it seem in your piece. The cost of fuel has taken a tremendous bite out of the available cash on hand for people to start spending and start this economy again.

msw2013's picture
msw2013 - Feb 27, 2012

It is unconscienceable for Marketplace to follow a story on the "working poor" with this story where K. Ryssdal states that it only costs $2.24 more for a tank of gas that is just the price of a Starbucks' coffee and where S. Mullainathan states that people spend too much time thinking about the price of gas that does not affect anything they do.

The "working poor" cannot afford to buy a Starbucks' coffee and they think so much about the price of gas because they have to choose between filling the tank and paying the heating bill.

Those comments exemplify the disconnect between the wealthy and the "working poor" where the wealthy do not understand what the "working poor" must do simply to make ends meet. This story by Marketplace was an exercise in hypocracy that insulted the two individuals who shared their personal stories with the listeners and that insults all the "working poor" who struggle everyday to eke out an existence.

Scoob's picture
Scoob - Feb 27, 2012

Very disappointing economic story that shows a lack of understanding of the real reasons, impacts and costs of increasing fuel prices on the economy. A little more economic facts and analysis versus "emotional" analysis is what is needed today. This comes across as a politically slanted and incorrect story as to why we should not really care about higher gasoline prices.

GregB's picture
GregB - Feb 27, 2012

I too would love a follow-up on why Kai shouldn't drive a minivan. I'm guessing because they are the least economical given their cost and relatively poor build quality? I would love to not drive a large full size SUV but I can't figure out how to legally drive a car or even a smaller two row SUV. A minivan is a possibility but who wants to pay as much as an SUV for a minivan?

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