Obama's deficit plan: Politics or policy?

Speaker of the House John Boehner applauds during U.S. President Barack Obama's address to a Joint Session of Congress at the U.S. Capitol on September 8, 2011 in Washington, D.C.

Jeremy Hobson: We are just a half-hour away right now from a big long-term deficit-cutting proposal from President Obama, which is expected to include $1.5 trillion dollars in tax increases -- mostly on the wealthy. Also, cuts to Medicare -- but not to Social Security. And a trillion dollars in savings by withdrawing troops from Iraq and Afghanistan over the coming decade. Now, top Republicans have already been dismissing much of the president's proposal.

But let's talk more now about the economics with Julia Coronado. She is chief economist with the investment bank BNP Paribas, and she's with us live from New York as she is every Monday. Good morning.

Julia Coronado: Good morning.

Hobson: So Julia, people are already talking about this being more of a campaign 2012 proposal than an actual deficit-cutting proposal. You're an economist -- what are you interested in with this proposal?

Coronado: Well I tend to agree with that take on it. I'm not going to crunch through every detail of the package and think about its implications for the economy because most of it probably won't get passed. This is sort of an agenda-setting ahead of the 2012 election. Presdient Obama knows very well that most of this probably won't go through. So it's really not affecting my outlook for the next 6 to 12 months.

Hobson: Okay, well, I have to say -- just a couple of months ago we were in the midst of this big debt ceiling fight, and the downgrade of the U.S. credit rating. It seemed there was a lot of urgency to get something done about the long-term deficit. Is that gone now?

Coronado: Well the urgency then was we absolutely had to pass an increase in the debt ceiling. Now, ironically, the urgency not only has faded, but it's almost reversed. We've got investors so worried about risks to the global economy that the Treasury is having no problems financing itself. In fact, interest rates are hitting record lows. So really, I think the urgency is all about the 2012 political campaign -- more self-imposed urgency than something that the market is forcing on the government.

Hobson: Julia Coronado, chief economist with the investment Bank BNP Paribas, thanks as always.

Coronado: My pleasure.

About the author

Jeremy Hobson is host of Marketplace Morning Report, where he looks at business news from a global perspective to prepare listeners for the day ahead.
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Lets pass a law that says elected officials have to propose plans with a max 4 year timeframe. projecting out 10 years is nonsense and eliminates the ability to judge results. Second, Obama's tax and attacks on corporate jets is hypocritcal nonsense. I don't know too many corporations that fly 747's like he does. Also, while watching my son's football game in Somerset, PA last weekend I counted the number of private jets, carrying our humble leaders, as they landed atour airport. I realized the current adminsitration feels tax consumers (politicians) can fly around in private jets but tax payers cannot. Hypocrits. When is the public going to wake up to the nonsense retoric they use.

This plays like a broken record and he exemplifies why they're called Tax & Spend Democrats.
While Rome burns, he fiddles.

It is a shame that this is just another program that is hot air. What about Solyndra? I think it is time we stopped listening.

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