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Speculation suddenly drives oil higher

Oil barrels on the side of the road in Baghdad

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TEXT OF STORY

Bill Radke: Oil prices are at a high for the year -- above $71 a barrel in Europe this morning on hopes of economic recovery. From London, Stephen Beard reports.


Stephen Beard: Some sales statistics from the East have fueled the latest rise in the price of crude. New car sales in China jumped by 34 percent last month. That's reinforced a novel idea that Chinese consumers may help to power global economic revival.

The market is also taking heart from slower rates of decline in the U.S. and Europe. But analysts are stressing that traders are looking ahead. We are still not seeing an increase in actual demand for physical barrels of oil.

Nick Macgregor is with brokers Redmayne Bentley:

Nick Macgregor: Investors effectively are really taking a bet on economic recovery. And they see oil as one of the major beneficiaries of any economic recovery as and when it comes.

Some analysts say that, driven by this speculative momentum, the price of oil could hit $80 a barrel within a week.

In London, this is Stephen Beard for Marketplace.

About the author

Stephen Beard is the European bureau chief and provides daily coverage of Europe’s business and economic developments for the entire Marketplace portfolio.
T Heller's picture
T Heller - Jun 10, 2009

Someone needs to update William Jennings Bryant's 'Cross of Gold' speech. The effect of market speculation is alarming -- it took us into meltdown and it looks like it could send us right back.

David Oswald's picture
David Oswald - Jun 10, 2009

I am all for capitalism but when it comes in the form of speculation on the futures market, there needs to be some increased regulation. What drives me crazy is this is a futures market. However, as the price rises, so does the price at the pump almost instantly. The gas in the storage tanks was refined not with oil at the current price. Let the markets go up and down, just don't increase the cost of fuel at the same time. Fuel price increases will quickly slow any improvement in consumer spending as it relates to improving the economy. This is especially the case in Michigan where fuel prices are the highest in the country and we have the highest unemployment rate.