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They want to keep the puppet strings

Today, Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner asked Congress to extend TARP another 10 months to October, 2010. Around here, we're asking: What's behind this? Is Geithner a. just being cautious b. extraordinarily nervous about what might be coming c. an enabler or d. simply drunk with power?

You can probably make a case for all four. Read Geithner's letter to Congress here.
Geithner says use of the TARP funds next year will be limited to three things -- dealing with foreclosures, providing capital to small busines and propping up credit markets to increase lending. More:

Beyond these limited new commitments, we will not use remaining EESA funds unless necessary to respond to an immediate and substantial threat to the economy stemming from financial instability. As a nation we must maintain capacity to respond to such a threat. Banks are still experiencing significant new credit losses, and the pace of bank failures, which tend to lag economic cycles, remains elevated.

At the same time, many of the Federal Reserve and FDIC programs that have complemented TARP investments are ending. This creates a financial environment in which new shocks could have an outsized effect - especially if an adequate financial stability reserve is not maintained.

So there are reasons a. and b. Geithner also seems to believe the government has done a bang-up job with TARP and its other programs. In other words, the economy needs the government to keep doing what it's doing:

History suggests that exiting prematurely from policies designed to contain a financial crisis can significantly prolong an economic downturn. We must not waver in our resolve to ensure the stability of the financial system and to support the nascent recovery that the Administration and the Congress have worked so hard to achieve.

But a report out today from the TARP oversight panel headed by Elizabeth Warren says this:

... the panel wrote, the bailout failed to stem problems like lackluster lending and growing foreclosures that still plague the economy.

It even suggests that TARP may have done harm by making some banks and firms, considered too big for regulators to allow them to fail, even bigger and by creating a new expectation that big banks will always be saved.

"Implicit government guarantees pose the most difficult long-term problem to emerge from the crisis," the panel wrote.

It's called enabling. Answer c.

Finally, once you hand over the remote control, try getting it back. The Treasury and the Fed have taken the power given to them by Congress in a time of crisis and run with it. They'll most likely run with it as far as they can. Think about it. When Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke testified to Congress last week, he admitted the Fed had made mistakes. "We didn't do the worst job, either," he said. But when members of Congress suggested the Fed be audited or that it should be less secret or perhaps its authority more narrow in focus, Bernanke said no way.

Essentially, you're going to have to pry the puppet strings from his cold, lifeless fingers.

On that note, some comic relief from Stephen Colbert:

The Colbert Report Mon - Thurs 11:30pm / 10:30c
Fed's Dead
www.colbertnation.com
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Matt's picture
Matt - Dec 9, 2009

Here's a great and related article by Jim Grant from the WSJ, called <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405274870434240457457576166048199... target="_blank">Requiem for the Dollar</a>.

Warning: it's rather long.

Also, all this talk about the TARP points up how those that control our government really operate, time and again: they create a crisis and then use it to justify wide-reaching extra-constitutional action. For examples, see the Patriot Act, TARP, and the Authorization to Use Military Force.

Matt's picture
Matt - Dec 9, 2009

To make it easy on folks, here's an excerpt from Grant's WSJ piece:

"On the matter of comparative monetary policies, the most expressive market is the one that the Fed isn't overtly manipulating. Though Treasury yields might as well be frozen, the gold price is soaring (it lost altitude on Friday). Why has it taken flight? Not on account of an inflation problem. Gold is appreciating in terms of all paper currencies—or, alternatively, paper currencies are depreciating in terms of gold—because the world is losing faith in the tenets of modern central banking. Correctly, the dollar's vast non-American constituency understands that it counts for nothing in the councils of the Fed and the Treasury. If 0% interest rates suit the U.S. economy, 0% will be the rate imposed. Then, too, gold is hard to find and costly to produce. You can materialize dollars with the tap of a computer key."