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Greece and WMD's

And they call this God's work? Toying with the financial future of a sovereign nation? That's what it's come to. Banks have been placing bets on whether Greece will default on its debt. This is the same debt that the same banks may have helped Greece hide. And the gambling is now making Greece's situation worse.

From the New York Times:

Echoing the kind of trades that nearly toppled the American International Group, the increasingly popular insurance against the risk of a Greek default is making it harder for Athens to raise the money it needs to pay its bills, according to traders and money managers.

These contracts, known as credit-default swaps, effectively let banks and hedge funds wager on the financial equivalent of a four-alarm fire: a default by a company or, in the case of Greece, an entire country. If Greece reneges on its debts, traders who own these swaps stand to profit.

"It's like buying fire insurance on your neighbor's house -- you create an incentive to burn down the house," said Philip Gisdakis, head of credit strategy at UniCredit in Munich.

The Times says a little-known company created an index last year that allowed traders to bet on whether Greece and other European nations would go bust. You've probably never heard of the Markit Group of London. But guess who funded Markit? Do I even need to say it?

Goldman Sachs. JP Morgan. And about a dozen other banks.

More from the Times:

A result, some traders say, is a vicious circle. As banks and others rush into these swaps, the cost of insuring Greece's debt rises. Alarmed by that bearish signal, bond investors then shun Greek bonds, making it harder for the country to borrow. That, in turn, adds to the anxiety -- and the whole thing starts over again...

"It's the blind leading the blind," said Sylvain R. Raynes, an expert in structured finance at R&R Consulting in New York. "The iTraxx SovX did not create the situation, but it has exacerbated it."

It's true that Greece should take much of the blame for its own financial condition. But
this never-ending creation of derivatives must stop.

Here's Markit's defense:

In a statement, Markit said its index was started to satisfy market demand, and had improved the ability of traders to hedge their risks. The index and similar products, it added, actually make it easier for buyers and sellers to gauge prices for instruments that are traded among players over the counter, rather than on exchanges.

"These indices have helped bring transparency to the sovereign C.D.S. market," Markit said. "Prior to their creation, there was no established benchmark index enabling investors to track the performance of segments of the sovereign C.D.S. market."

I think I've heard this before. Remember Goldman CEO Lloyd Blankfein testifying on the Hill? These are professional, sophisticated investors. They want the exposure. They want it. We're just giving it to them.

At a hearing today on Capitol Hill, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke responded to a question about the Times story:

"We are looking into a number of questions related to Goldman Sachs and other companies in their derivatives arrangements with Greece," Bernanke said in response to a question for Senate banking Committee Chairman Chris Dodd.

Bernanke said the Securities and Exchange Commission was also "interested" in the issue and added: "Obviously, using these instruments in a way that potentially destabilizes a company or a country is counterproductive."

That's one way to put it. But weapons of mass destruction is probably more accurate.

About the author

Jim's picture
Jim - Feb 25, 2010

I listened to this story tonight and it struck me that no one was talking about the risk of the issuers of these credit default swaps defaulting themselves. In other words, isn't that what happened with AIG, which had sold so many credit default swaps to hedge the risk of derivatives based on subprime mortgages? Who is issuing these credit default swaps that hedge against Greece defaulting? Is this another AIG fiasco in the works?

gb gb's picture
gb gb - Feb 25, 2010

So who are the counter parties who sold CDS to these big banks? AIG or Treasury cut the middle men and directly acting as counter party to funnel tax payer money?

JPM's picture
JPM - Feb 25, 2010

Seems like the financial side is getting in focus for the media giants, but I don't see much on the protests.

All I can find <a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/ukpress/article/ALeqM5jKbyilhOSRQsT4C9a... target="_blank">here.</a>

JPM's picture
JPM - Feb 25, 2010

Oh I did find this from one of the TV giants. <a href="http://english.ntdtv.com/ntdtv_en/ns_europe/2010-02-25/024774370866.html...

I wonder what would happen if the US slashed budgets.

Kevin H's picture
Kevin H - Feb 25, 2010

couldn't Greece just start selling CDSs? Do it througha subsidiary, then let the public know, and it would basically poison the market for CDS because if Greece defaults on it'd debt, it will also default on the CDS, and if no one knows which CDS comes from where, no one will want to buy any. A bit sneaky but probably legal.

Or they could buy enough CDS to create a catch 22, where if they default, they have enough money to pay back their debt.

With games like these, it seems pretty insane for anyone to get into the CDS market.

Jeff's picture
Jeff - Feb 25, 2010

As much as I despise the bank takeover of the world (thanks for the funny letter Bernanke), Greece is responsible for hiding their debt for the last 10 years. They knew what they were doing and their irresponsibility is catching up to them. Markit just seems to be feeding on the carcass.

Ben Bernanke's picture
Ben Bernanke - Feb 25, 2010

“Obviously, using these instruments in a way that potentially destabilizes a company or a country is counterproductive.”

Yeah, I said it. So what, who cares?

And although it's obvious that these instruments are being used exactly for that purpose AGAIN, I won't do anything to curtail the phenomenon. Because I work for huge multinational banks, not the American people.

That's why I supported the bailout of AIG, and the payment of all that US taxpayer money to its counterparties, many of which were foreign corporations.

Hey just to rub salt in the wound, here's a list of those foreign corporations that were paid US taxpayer money for being AIG counterparties:

(1) Deutsche Bank (Germany)
(2) Calyon, Crédit Agricole (France)
(3) UBS (Switzerland)
(4) Barclays (England)
(5) Coral Purchasing, DZ Bank (Germany)
(6) Bank of Montreal (Canada)
(7) Rabobank (the Netherlands)
(8) Royal Bank of Scotland

Heck, I figured even the foreign banks would need help to pay their execs and traders crazy bonuses given the huge losses they helped orchastrate with their crazy innovations.

And who better to pay those bonuses than American taxpayers? Thanks for funding all this corporate welfare Americans!

Your democracy is on its knees. My system of privately owned banks (the Fed) and our allies have captured your government. You are all slaves to debt, thanks to our perpetually low interest rates. We have made the U.S. a rentier state!

At any moment, the American people could rise up and demand that Congress and the President repeal the Federal Reserve Act.

But I'm confident that won't happen, at least not before it's too late. Until then, your ignorance is our bliss.

- Bernanke