16

Buffett's new train set

Warren Buffett just turned 79, but to quote a great line from the Washington Post, he invests "like an 8-year-old boy in the 1950's." Coca-Cola, Dairy Queen, candy, chewing gum and now a choo-choo set. But seriously, what does his purchase of Burlington Northern Santa Fe tell us about the economy?

Buffett already owns 23% of BNSF, but in Berkshire Hathaway's biggest deal ever, he's buying the rest. Here's what Buffett said on CNBC this morning:

Rails last year moved 40 percent, more than 40 percent, over the country. They moved more than all those trucks, just the four big railroads. It's a very effective way of moving goods. I basically believe this country will prosper and you'll have more people moving more goods 10 and 20 and 30 years from now, and the rails should benefit. It's a bet on the country, basically."

It might also be a bet that energy prices are going higher. From Bloomberg:

"As oil prices go up, higher diesel fuel raises costs for rails, but it raises costs for its competitors, truckers, roughly by a factor of four," Buffett told shareholders in 2007 at his company's annual meeting. "There could be a lot more business there than there was in the past."

Finally, the BNSF deal might be a bet on China. From the Washington Post's Economy Watch:

China craves the coal and other raw materials that the U.S. produces. Those commodities fuel the great economic engine that is China, which is the factory to the world. U.S. coal and goods are sent via rail to Pacific ports and then shipped to China. With his round-out purchase of Burlington Northern, Buffett thinks China will continue to be strong.

By the way, Buffett also announced a stock splitting plan. Berkshire's class B shares would go from $3,000 a piece to only $65 a share!

Of course, class A shares are still priced at just under $100,000. Each.

About the author

Pages

Real Estate Attorney's picture
Real Estate Attorney - Nov 3, 2009

This might be an historical event in American business. If this deal goes through, it might be the first totally private ownership of a major American Railroad in the history of this country

Ned D.'s picture
Ned D. - Nov 4, 2009

This is an omen of whats to come.

How are little investors supposed to compete for a piece of capitalism if an increasing number of super-rich people keep privatizing all the good companies?

Answer: They can't.

joey's picture
joey - Nov 3, 2009

BNSF revenues by segment:
Consumer Products - 31%
Coal - 27%
Industrial Products (machinery, lumber, chemicals) - 21%
Ag Products (corn, wheat, beans) - 20%

If you think Buffett is right, I'd probably start looking in these industries for some solid buys.

Ned D.'s picture
Ned D. - Nov 3, 2009

Actually about 1/3 of my savings is in just that: Materials and Mining.

I would like to find a company that makes things with the materials that have added-value and sells them for a profit. That's where the long-term value is.

Ayrin Zahner's picture
Ayrin Zahner - Nov 4, 2009

When I heard that some economists are speculating that Buffet is betting against a viable climate change policy and for future increased coal use, we must remember that Train transport and travel is much more energy efficient than truck, car and air travel. I'd like to spread the rumor that Buffet is betting for a comprehensive carbon cap and trade plan in hopes that he'll have carbon credits to sell from his new transportation acquisition.

Ayrin Zahner
UC Berkeley, DCRP

Anonymous's picture
Anonymous - Nov 5, 2009

Either that or he needs income to cover his losses in derivatives.

Tom Shillock's picture
Tom Shillock - Nov 3, 2009

That's a great story title. Buffett reminds us that the board game Monopoly is largely the model of the American economy and that the rest of us will be lucky if we can hang on to our Marvin Gardens.

Scott Jagow's picture
Scott Jagow - Nov 3, 2009

Good one!

Ἱερώνυμος Αματι Nώνυμος's picture
Ἱερώνυμ... - Nov 3, 2009

"
Marvin Gardens.
"

I beg you pardons.
I never promised you Marvin Gardens.
Along with Community Chest.
Get Short line and the B & O to invest!

joey's picture
joey - Nov 4, 2009

A game can be won or lost because of Marvin Gardens. The owner of Park Place and Boardwalk can use all his cash to throw up some condos then have no liquidity to stay at the lovely Marvin Gardens Motel 6.

Pages