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What the stimulus means for us

House Democrats talk to reporters at news conference after the House approved the economic stimulus bill. From left, Majority Leader Steny Hoyer of Maryland, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi of California, Democratic Caucus Chair Rep. John Larson of Connecticut, Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chair Rep. Chris Van Hollen of Maryland, and Ways and Means Committee Chairman Charlie Rangel of New York.

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TEXT OF INTERVIEW

Tess Vigeland: Feeling stimulated yet? We continue our coverage of fallout from the financial crisis this week with . . . The stim-pak! That's stimulus package for those of you who speak plain English. Lots of compromises on Capitol Hill this week. Billions of dollars cut from the bill. Billions added elsewhere. And maybe now we just cross our fingers.

But what's in it for you and for me? And how does this all fit in with that big bank bailout from last October that made headlines again this week? Joining us to provide some answers are Marketplace Senior Editor Paddy Hirsh and our D.C. Bureau Chief John Dimsdale.

Hi, guys.

Paddy Hirsch: How you doing?

John Dimsdale: Hello, Tess.

Vigeland: Gentlemen, first let's talk about how much money we're looking at here. John, the stimulus package?

Dimsdale: $790 billion. Now you know, that's only a little more than where it started at first. During the debate, with all the ad-ons and amendments, the bill was getting close to a trillion dollars.

Vigeland: And, Paddy, the bailout?

Hirsch: Well, you know, Tim Geithner was painting in pretty broad strokes when he talked last week about this, but we're looking at about two and a half trillion.

Vigeland: OK. So that's way beyond the original $700 billion bailout?

Hirsch: Oh, yes. Way beyond that. I mean, we're talking about TARP when we talk about the 700 and there's still 350 left. Add it all up and we're looking at about two and a half trillion.

Vigeland: Alright. Well, John, let's start with you. Let's talk a little bit about this stimulus package. Let's got through some of the help that the average American is going to get in this bill. Lots of tax cuts. Take us through these. First, the payroll.

Dimsdale: Yeah. That's an individual income tax cut. It's one of President Obama's campaign promises -- the make work pay tax credit. Now it has been trimmed back from the $500 per person to $400. And it's not given out in a lump sum, it's going to be given to you through your paycheck in the form of reduced withholding. And that's going to come to about $13 a week for the first year. It's a two year break, but it's only worth about $7 a week next year. This tax cut begins to faze out for people earning more than $75,000 a year. But it is refundable, which means if you don't earn enough to pay $400 in taxes, you can file a 1040 form next year and get the difference in a check paid to you.

Vigeland: OK. But other than that, nobody is getting a stimulus check like we saw last year?

Dimsdale: Unless you're on Social Security, in which case you get a $250 check.

Vigeland: OK, so that's a separate part of the stimulus package. You want to give us a few more details about that?

Dimsdale: You also get a $250 check if you're a veteran with a pension and disabled people have a $250 check.

Vigeland: One big thing I think everybody was hoping would happen here is we have another AMT patch, the alternative minimum tax.

Dimsdale: That's right. And it's not really a stimulus because it basically keeps the status quo, but it shields middle class families from the AMT, which would otherwise mean an average $2,300 tax increase. And that stayed in the compromise.

Vigeland: We've been getting a lot of questions from listeners about the first-time homebuyer credit. And I think this is very confusing for folks. What was the final outcome on this?

Dimsdale: Well, the compromise raises the existing $7,500 loan for first-time homebuyers to an $8,000 tax credit, which means you don't have to pay it back. Now, this does only apply to a first-home purchase before Dec. 1, so you got to get out there and start checking out those houses.

Hirsch: John, it seems to me that, and the main thrust of this is to try and get two things done. Firstly, to kind of create or retain jobs. And the second is to encourage more spending both by companies and individuals. That seems, to me, to be the sum-up of what the aim is here. Would you say that's right?

Dimsdale: Exactly. Put some cash in peoples' pockets so that they'll be willing to go out to the mall, which didn't happen, you'll remember, last year with the big rebate.

Vigeland: Well, Paddy, let's turn to you. What do we as individuals need to know about the rest of this bailout money?

Hirsch: Well, you know, we've been talking a lot about this here. And the way I like to think about it is, you know, the president, he's got a shot gun that's loaded for bear, right. Double barrel shotgun with two cartridges in it, and the one cartridge is the stimulus package and the other cartridge is the bank rescue plan, whatever you want to call it. And he needs to give this bear, if you like, this problem. He needs to give this bear both barrels at the same time. Because without the bank bailout package the economy is likely to stagger in future. And without a rising and improving economy, well the banks are likely not to survive. So the solution that's required is both of these things simultaneously at the same time, which is, obviously means an enormous amount of money. I mean, we're talking three-plus trillion dollars at this point.

Vigeland: But I think that's where all these question come in from average Americans: Why isn't this money coming to me? For example, nothing about loan modifications in the bailout package.

Dimsdale: From Washington's point of view you can't deal with mortgages and loans so easily. You have to pick winners and losers. If you're going to be helping one person, the neighbor's going to say, well, what about me? I've been paying all along, I should get some help too. President Obama has said, we will have some foreclosure relief down the road, but they haven't figured out how to do it yet.

Hirsch: Yeah, I mean, I think they're talking about $50 billion of the troubled asset relief plan to go towards dealing with foreclosures, but there's been no details of how that's going to work. And, like John says, who do you pick? Frankly, if there was some guy living next door to me who took out a ridiculous loan that there's no way he was every going to be able to pay off, at ridiculous rates, and he got bailed out and I didn't, I'm going to be pretty unhappy about that. So there's some really tough choices to make here.

Vigeland: And they've been trying to make those for months. So I guess the question is, is another month or two going to get us there?

Hirsch: I certainly don't know the answer to that. I speak to people on Wall Street every day. They're looking at next year, at this point.

Dimsdale: I think it'll be a while, yeah.

Vigeland: Well, John, before we go, let me just as you. You know, we kind of reviewed a few of the tax credits earlier. Anything else people will want to be aware of out of the stimulus package?

Dimsdale: Well, there are energy efficiency tax credits, $5 billion worth of them -- incentives to weatherize your home, to use alternative fuels, to buy a plug-in hybrid. There's also a $2,500 tax credit for college expenses, and that includes books and computers and tuition over the next two years. All of these have very st rict income limits. There's an increase in unemployment benefits, $25 a week extends the benefits for another 20 weeks. There's more job training, more food stamps, more head-start. And for anyone who's getting COBRA, the law that requires employers to keep former workers on the company's healthcare insurance policy, with presumably cheaper premiums than an unemployed person could get on their own -- but those premiums are still very high, especially if you're unemployed -- the stimulus bill offers a federal subsidy of 60 percent of that premium cost. So that's really a major benefit for the newly unemployed who could be paying $1,000 a month for health care.

Vigeland: Marketplace's Washington bureau chief John Dimsdale and our senior editor Paddy Hirsch. Thanks guys, so much, for helping us out this week.

Hirsch: Been a pleasure.

Dimsdale: Thanks, Tess.

About the author

As head of Marketplace’s Washington, D.C. bureau, John Dimsdale provides insightful commentary on the intersection of government and money for the entire Marketplace portfolio.
mary wheeler's picture
mary wheeler - Mar 23, 2009

does everyone on unemployment get 25.00 raise,and when does this start in nevada

mary wheeler's picture
mary wheeler - Mar 23, 2009

does everyone on unemployment get 25.00 raise,and when does this start in nevada

Liz Ule's picture
Liz Ule - Mar 13, 2009

Hi, I like to know when the additional $25.00 per week apply.
Liz, Miami 03/13/09
Thanks

cathy miller's picture
cathy miller - Feb 27, 2009

No one answered the question When does the extra 25.00 a week get put into the unemployment checks? Do you have to have an extension to get it? Thank you

Debarah Jones's picture
Debarah Jones - Feb 17, 2009

I'm still confused on how many weeks of unemployment are available? In Wisconsin I think it is is 32 weeks, then I understood there is one extension + one more after that. When does the additional $25.00 per week apply?

Please let me know.

Thanks,

Charles Mason's picture
Charles Mason - Feb 14, 2009

If I see another person criticize the Bush administration for something that started during the Regan years I'm going to scream. That's like conservatives blaming Obama if the stimulus doesn't work (which it probably won't that much) for the next four years. Bush and Obama inherited an economy that already started going down hill. Also, it amazes me due to party loyalty how people forget before Bill Clinton left office we started going into a recession. This stimulus package is like getting a pay-day loan. Now when most people’s account go into the red the first thing they do is cut spending, then if they have bills they need to meet right away they get a pay day loan. Now once they get there next check they pay there bills but, they still have that payday loan which, if it was $500 they owe $600. So then they stay in the black but, go into the red again because of something unexpected but, the debt is not as bad as the first time because they’ve cut spending. So three months from the time you first went into the red and your finally back on course. Now our government is spending more, cut taxes plus got another payday loan equaling $2e+12. Now how do we suppose this is going to work. We’re does somebody get honest and say we need to raise taxes on everyone from corporations to individuals and cut spending, including and especially that behemoth we call Social Security. I’m rather disappointed in Obama because he has the charisma to raise taxes and make it sound good like Kennedy gave that “Ask not what your country can do for you speech”. We need to face the truth, taxes need to be raised and spending needs to be almost sliced. Then use the stimulus to create jobs and help people pay these bad loans. Would I get mad that someone who made a bad decision got a way out but I didn’t, yes I would but, it’s like having children, sometimes all suffer for the sake of one, and if we can’t see that’s life, then we need to grow up.

Ken Palosi's picture
Ken Palosi - Feb 14, 2009

I cannot help but wonder what would have happened if only people had listened to me eight years ago. At that time I urged the newly elected president and my congressmen not to squander the 640 billion dollar surplus we had and not to institute massive tax cuts. I urged them to split the surplus in half and apply half to paying down the deficit and use the other half to bolster social security. Instead the congress with the full blessing of the president went on a spending spree funding a myriad of earmarks. The feeding frenzy didn’t stop once the surplus was depleted; it went on for eight full years. At the same time a series of tax cuts and rebates diminished the revenue flow to the treasury and we continued to borrow until we are now hitting trillion dollar deficits every year. During those eight years our economy was artificially stimulated by continuing to reduce interest rates in order to keep the economy going. And all the while if the economy looked like it needed another shot in the arm – more tax cuts. It was a though the nation’s economy was merely feeding on itself, somewhat like a giant Ponzi scheme that makes Bernie Madoff look like a piker. At least Madoff had the intelligence to realize that the time of reckoning had come to give up the game.

If the best thing for our economy is a free market then the economy must be free to adjust itself every so often with a mild downturn or short recession. To try to keep it going by reducing interest rates or giving massive tax cuts only delays the inevitable day of accounting. Now the time of accounting has come and we are in the worst recession since the great depression because the time for adjustment cannot be put off any longer. It is for that reason that there are doubts as to just how effective the massive stimulus bill will be. We are now paying the price for eight years of economic foolishness and it is a terrible price indeed.

Kenneth Robinson's picture
Kenneth Robinson - Feb 14, 2009

There is nothing in this stimulus package for veterans we only got $300.00 for a single vet and $600.00 for veterans with dependents WHY????