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Name this recession

Justin Wolfers

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TEXT OF COMMENTARY

BOB MOON: The world is going through a lot of changes right now: some temporary, some not and some who knows? We talked earlier about all ways the government's trying to fix all the trouble we're in. But when we get to the other side of these difficult times, and we will, what will we call this situation -- this period in history? Commentator and economist Justin Wolfers has been looking for an answer.


JUSTIN WOLFERS: The pundits are calling it a "financial crisis." But the economy has been bad enough for long enough that we can't keep labeling it a crisis. Officially it's a recession. But recessions are typically short and mild, and we've already been in this recession for over a year. Still, things aren't as bad as they were in the 1930s, so we can't call it a depression.

So what should we call it? I asked a bunch of economists, and got some great ideas. David Clingingsmith, from Case Western noted that in 1930, "Keynes used the term 'Great Slump'." The only downside? It's "not very poetic, especially for him."

My Wharton colleague, Jeremy Tobacman, was more dramatic, suggesting we call it "The Decline and Fall," which hints at the financial empires that were built on paper and false promises. He's referencing "The History of the Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire," which attributes the empire's decay to the ruinous sloth brought on by years of success. The empire fell when Romans outsourced their defense to mercenaries. Replace the mercenaries with the ratings agencies, and you have the whole story.

My significant other, economist Betsey Stevenson, suggests we call it "The Great Correction," to reflect both the cause of the downturn, and its magnitude. But "correction" suggests that we are reverting to the "correct" level of activity. There are just too many people out of work for any of this to be correct. But Professor Stevenson says she means the great correction as a request: it's time to "correct" lax regulation. If this was the cause, maybe we should call it "The Great Deception," instead.

Perhaps the best idea comes from Doireann Fitzgerald, an Irish economist at Stanford. She suggests we call it a "Clump," short for credit slump; or a "Flump," which denotes a financial slump. As she said, "Flump has a pleasing whiff of incompetence about it." This language lays bare the ineptitude of policymakers, who failed to recognized a clump of flumps.

So, let's keep our fingers crossed that soon enough this incompetence will end, and the economy will emerge from its terrible, ah, what do we call it? Flump.

MOON: Justin Wolfers teaches business and public policy at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School.

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Mike Goodrich's picture
Mike Goodrich - Mar 31, 2009

The Great Mess of 08

Jamie Barmettler's picture
Jamie Barmettler - Mar 24, 2009

I call it "The Bushwacked Economy"

Vijay Prashad's picture
Vijay Prashad - Mar 24, 2009

Why not just call it what it is: capitalism....prone to crisis.

Sheila Moore's picture
Sheila Moore - Mar 24, 2009

I'm sure it's too politically incorrect to be the official name, but I think of this problem as the Manic Depression -- the big depression that typically follows a manic spending spree.

Dorothy Berndt's picture
Dorothy Berndt - Mar 24, 2009

I think we should call it the "Great Digestion" - the period in our economic history when the Too Big to Fail Institutions devoured the rest of us. I hope they get the Great Indigestion!!!!!

Vivian Galligan's picture
Vivian Galligan - Mar 24, 2009

Name the recession? I named it months ago! It's the Greater Depression. Everything surrounding the Baby Boomers is bigger and better than what went before - the Great Depression of our parents and grandparents - pfff - we're suffering through the Greater Depression and we have hardly begun to feel its impact.

Sal Troiano's picture
Sal Troiano - Mar 24, 2009

A simple one-word name doesn't do the present event justice. This ranks up there with the big ones, such as the Panics of 1893 and 1907. Historians and economists should view this from the same perspective that previous events, resulting in "trust busting", etc. have resulted in. I think it should be called "THE GREAT BANK PANIC OF 2008".

Susan Johnson's picture
Susan Johnson - Mar 24, 2009

I've decided to call it the Not So Great Depression.

Faye Wadsworth's picture
Faye Wadsworth - Mar 23, 2009

Pu-leez! It's a "downturn" - we don't know yet when it will turn the other direction. Where have Wolfers and the others at Wharton been? Why haven't they changed the way economics, business ethics and cycles are taught at America's top b-schools? After all the minions of Wall Street come from these b-schools. It's disturbing that our brightest and best professors can't even name what's happening. Where were they when warnings needed to be sounded about deritives and such?? Please air a story about one of our top b-schools who tried to be a voice in the wind calling for reason and prudence.

Mike Sis's picture
Mike Sis - Mar 23, 2009

I suggest it be called a regression -- not only does that seem to blend recession and depression, but it's dictionary definition fits as well:
1. the act of going back to a previous place or state; return or reversion.
2. retrogradation; retrogression.

In terms of the stock markets, we've gone back 10+ years.
In terms of consumer habits, many have gone back to saving instead of spending and indebtedness (back 20 or 30 years?).
In terms of government policies, we've returned to the 30s.
And most of our 401Ks have practically returned to the point where they started -- $0.

Yes, in so many ways, "Regression" seems to fit.

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