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How they deal with crisis in Sweden

Close-up of a flapping Swedish flag

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TEXT OF STORY

Scott Jagow: The U.S. is not the first country to go through a financial disaster. Japan in the mid-90's, we've heard a lot about that. But there's another recent case that had a much happier ending. Marketplace's Alisa Roth went to Stockholm to hear the story.


Alisa Roth: It was 1992. Sweden, long known for its strong social state and solid economic growth, found itself staring down a financial disaster.
Robert Bergquist was an economist at the Swedish central bank back then.

Robert Bergquist: We had a banking crisis, we had a currency crisis, we had a liquidity crisis, all this kind of all different crisis at that time.

Cheap credit had helped create a real estate bubble, and it was starting to collapse. Banks were starting to fail. Do you feel like you've heard this story already?

Fifteen years later, we know how this one turns out. Bo Lundgren was the minister for fiscal and financial affairs at the time of the crisis:

Bo Lundgren: First of all, you come to situation in a crisis where you have a loss of credibility, and you have to try to restore that credibility. The other thing is you have to see to it that the capital base for lending is restored.

To do that, the government set up a special agency to administer the help. It insisted that shareholders step up first, nd then dumped massive amounts of money into the system. It ended up taking over a couple of banks.

All in all, the government put up more than $18 billion. But it hung onto the assets for a long time, and managed to recover almost the whole thing. Some say it even recovered all the money.

A decade and a half later, economist Bergquist looks on the rescue almost fondly:

Bergquist: We are still talking about the crisis in the early 90's as something good for Sweden. It was painful. We lost lots of economic growth and so on and people got unemployed, but I think that it was a kind of starting point for a new era concerning economic development.

Many, including Bergquist and Lundgren, say that the changes that came out of the crisis will help Sweden through what could be tough times ahead.

So can the U.S. pull off a similar coup?

Former minister Lundgren has one worry: In 1992, his government had just been elected into office. So nobody was thinking about the next election. Congress, are you listening?

In Stockholm, I'm Alisa Roth for Marketplace.

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Jens Kjaer Sorensen's picture
Jens Kjaer Sorensen - Oct 4, 2008

The problem is that this bubble is not a single isolated bubble.
Today we are experiencing by far the largest housing bubble in world economic history and most western countries are facing a severe downturn due to the substantial overpricing of houses.
Sweden could get out of their crisis due to a low Swedish currency and their normal export countries buying their products.

So far the low dollar has helped the US, but with the Euro under great pressure from an even bigger housing bubble it is hard to find the country that will be the economic engine in the years to come...

In 2006 I predicted the housing bubble, credit crisis and a financial crisis.
Read more on: www.jensks.com

/Jens

Runa Musib's picture
Runa Musib - Oct 3, 2008

NY Time shad already highlighted how Sweden dealt with their economic crisis on September 22, so NPR and Marketplace are not the first mainstream media to do so.

jack harkrider's picture
jack harkrider - Oct 3, 2008

This is just anoher example of how mainstream media overlooks information that would be extremely helpful to the public. Markteplace and NPR are among the few media that contiunally provide real information and insight to the intricacies of our modern global society.

Hal Hancock's picture
Hal Hancock - Oct 3, 2008

While numerous economists have referenced or discussed the Swedish model for dealing with the crisis, and recommended it, it is largely absent from the public consciousness.

Marketplace could have helped to explain this to the public, but now it only appears here on the little listened to "morning" edition.

Gregory Gondek's picture
Gregory Gondek - Oct 3, 2008

I would like to think that we would be as responsible and sensible as the Swedes were in bailing out their banking crisis. I'm thinking. I'm thinking. No, it's not happening.