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Blame both parties for bailout failure

Justin Wolfers

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TEXT OF COMMENTARY

Kai Ryssdal: If you happened to Google the words "bailout" and "blame" today, as I did just because I was curious, you got 2.4 million responses. That wasn't scientific enough for ABC News and The Washington Post. So they commissioned a poll on the topic last night. Who is to blame for the bailout plan going down. Forty-four percent said they hold Congressional Republicans responsible; 21 percent said the Democrats on the hill are to blame. Commentator and economist Justin Wolfers says politicians from both parties took their eye off the ball.


Justin Wolfers: Like you, I'm angry about the mess in our financial markets. I'm dismayed that Wall Street's incompetent, overpaid so-called Masters of the Universe have put us in such a tough spot.

But we can't let our anger blind us to the bigger picture. The financial system does something pretty amazing: It converts your savings into productive capital. It's a bridge between borrowers and lenders. When it works, it's a beautiful thing: Your savings are redirected to help young couples buy houses, entrepreneurs turn ideas into innovations and employers invest in their workers.

The "capital" in "capitalist" economies comes from financial markets. Sure, their inherent instability is their Achilles heel. Even so, modern finance has been a steady engine for job growth and higher incomes.

Today's problem is that the bridge between borrowers and lenders has washed away. Lenders won't lend, because they fear that borrowers cannot repay.

Think of the bailout as infrastructure investment. We need to rebuild that bridge.

The original Paulson plan was clearly imperfect. Fortunately, political horse-trading over the last week had gotten rid of its worst excesses. A good compromise leaves no-one happy, and by that metric, the revised plan is a success.

But there's an election in five weeks time, and our Congressional reps are more concerned with protecting their own jobs than with protecting yours. In fact, the single factor best explaining whether a rep voted against the bailout is whether he's in a close re-election race.

It's easy to oppose a policy, but true leadership requires constructive thinking. To those who oppose an unpopular measure, let's ask them a harder question: How would you resolve today's financial mess? Our two presidential candidates understand this dilemma, and despite some false starts, they're going to be part of the solution. We need Congress to be equally responsible.

Here's how to do it: Any policy called a bank bailout will fail. So let's call it what it is: an investment in our nation's economic infrastructure. And let's rebuild those broken bridges.

Kai Ryssdal: Justin Wolfers is an associate professor at the Wharton School of Business.

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Peter Lawrence's picture
Peter Lawrence - Oct 1, 2008

The current plan is once again paving the way for a few big players. We are once again laying the foundations for big institutions to hold the country as a hostage in future & once again, down the road, the government will be “forced” to bail them out because they are too big to fail! There are better alternatives:

Reward regional and community banks and credit unions who didn’t play in the high risk mortgage market with a large pool of low rate money they could loan to credit worthy businesses and customers.
Start a national Real Estate Trust that buys foreclosed homes at their real value instead of some pre-negotiated-good o’ boy-bail-out value allowing the banks that made the inflated loans to eat their losses or fail. Then put the homes in a huge rent-to-own pool where people who can pay a market rent for 2 years or more earn the right to buy the home they’re renting. The supply of homes for sale would reduce and prices would stabilize. The trust would make money, Americans could live in the homes we built and people would take pride in the homes they are earning the right to buy.
If the government still insists on purchasing the mortgages from the ailing banks – at least purchase the “non-toxic” mortgages INSTEAD of the toxic mortgages. This will meet the objective of providing funds to the ailing banks but at the same time protect the tax payers. The plan as it stands currently is not rewarding prudent banks and taxpayers It instead is cushioning the full brunt of risky financial practices.

salvatore incorvaia's picture
salvatore incorvaia - Oct 1, 2008

so the banks are good and politicians are bad eh? once again: the fed knew and encouraged it, the politicians took the money and unregulated it, the sec looked the other way, fannie and freddie gave it to the banks (and bought some too), the banks gave it to the people, and wall st. bought it from the banks. looks to me we have to blame ourselves for not having the where-with-all to keep an eye on these jokers. our forefathers are turning in their graves.

Bhupen Khanolkar's picture
Bhupen Khanolkar - Oct 1, 2008

The last time Justin Wolfer was on Marketplace, he had inferred that inflection in curd oil and gas will make our life better because it force real wages go up to adjust for inflation. The idea has fallen flat on its face. Gas is up but our wages aren’t. Wages don’t adjust based on inflation they adjust based on perceived productivity…. that discussion for some other time.

However now his is suggesting to dress up a bad bill with an appealing name to let it pass congress. I don’t believe that is a good idea. Socialism does not work. Socialism only cause more drift between the social classes. He wants inflation now to go up even further and taxpayer to foot the bill.

In a climate with crumbling infrastructure, a struggling poorer middle class, natural catastrophes that take more than 2 years to recover from, failing education and failing health care….. he want us to throw more money into the hole and hope that it will help us in the long run. ….

And for what… to stop the artificially inflated bubble of real estate from popping. To help the bankers and investors recover their money stuck in this market due to some very risky bets that they made trying to corner the middle class by artificially inflating home prices.

Pure rubbish…… Who invites him to give comments any way……

Andy Patton's picture
Andy Patton - Oct 1, 2008

Professor Wolfers is incorrect that "the single factor best explaining whether a rep voted against the bailout is whether he's in a close re-election race." Over the last 5 years, those who voted yes to the bailout received 54% more campaign dollars than those that voted no.
The financial services sector has contributed more to candidates for Congress, Presidential candidates, and political parties than any other sector, totaling $339,649,585 from 2007-present.

The sector has also contributed heavily to both John McCain and Barack Obama’s Presidential campaigns in 2007-2008: $22,108,926 to Sen. McCain and $24,860,257 to Sen. Obama.

The financial services sector has been a top campaign contributor for years, donating more than $2 billion to Federal candidates from 1989 through today.
Source:
http://www.maplight.org/node/43109

Gereon Welhouse's picture
Gereon Welhouse - Oct 1, 2008

I disagree with the tone of Justin Wolfers comments to the effect that our elected and unelected representatives know better than we do what is best for us. The financial mess we are in is largely the result of too much debt and now we are asked to believe that creating an enormous amount of new debt will make things better? I believe that saddling me and my children and their children with incredible debt is not in my best interest and I am proud that my elected representative listens to the people who elected him.

Sheila Sorvari's picture
Sheila Sorvari - Oct 1, 2008

The use of the word blame connotes that a lack of bail-out is wrong- but is it?

I think voters are not supporting the bailout because they simply do not believe the predictions of calamity sure to follow if we let the market do its job. Further, do voters believe that their elected representatives understand global economics enough to make a good judgment? Do we believe that anyone running for office would speak the truth and say "I don't totally understand this." Why wouldn't Paulsen/Bernacke say anything, anything to cover the assets?

We have become a nation of non-believers, as the constitution-waving conservatives beg Uncle Sam to be the ultimate helicopter parent.
Is there anything a voter hates more than hypocricy?

Robert Fischer's picture
Robert Fischer - Oct 1, 2008

The bridge he suggests we build is a "bridge to nowhere". If the people cannot afford their existing loans, why have the banks make more money available to them. We need to spend several years paying down our debt, personal, corporate, and government.

Allan Chadwick's picture
Allan Chadwick - Sep 30, 2008

If you want to build a bridge. Build a bridge and pay for it directly. We need them very badly and could pay honest corporations to build them. And we would have something to show for it. Thats better than injecting more smoke into the smoke and mirrors stadium.

This guy is a shill for wall street. Hope they bought him dinner tonight, and a Fosters.

Let me get this straight. True leaders go against their constituents? We can see where he stands democracy. And from the thought of the US gov owning wall street, so much for the republic too. Thank goodness some of this is falling during an election cycle so we might actually hold a couple of the stinkers accountable who vote for it.

There are plenty of solutions coming around including ones that might actually include some research as opposed to a free give away. Maybe we should first decide on the nature and accounting of the crisis before we throw money at it.

We ought to buy wall street the same way Warren Buffet does, if they have to get our money. If the taxpayers are going to ignore free market rules and buy companies.. Why don't we buy an oil company and kill two problems at once!

I wonder if any research exists on the benefits to the economy of universal health care compared to wall street bailouts.. Hmm. Seeing as how medical problems trigger bankrupcy, I just wonder.

Read the Shock Docterine by Neomi Klien. Justin I hope the 'free market' brings you and your family exactly what your fingers can earn in a sweat shop.

Let me get this straight. True leaders go against their constituents. Retard. Thank goodness some of this is falling during an election cycle so we might actually hold a couple of the stinkers accountable.

Ken Schulz's picture
Ken Schulz - Sep 30, 2008

Neither party has enough lipstick to make this pig attractive. The public suspects that their tax money will go to the same crowd who, by some combination of recklessness, greed, incompetence, arrogance, stupidity, and dishonesty, already made a mountain of other peoples' money disappear. We need to see some perp walks, and some more well-earned bankruptcies. Give the money to people and institutions that weren't the cause of the problem.

Michael Garrels's picture
Michael Garrels - Sep 30, 2008

I'm disappointed that Marketplace is taking a pro-bailout, pro-panic stance. Congress listening to their constituents, opposing increases in executive power, opposing fear-mongering, and opposing deficit spending is good for democracy - and what's good for democracy is good for the economy.
Marketplace needs to put the current crisis in better perspective relative to the savings and loan crisis, the Asian financial crises and so many other crises that were bad but not so bad that we can remember them. We have nothing to fear but fear itself - and lemmings.

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