I’m listening to a discussion about the presidential election, and the commentators are dwelling on the polls..
Curious, I pulled up the Iowa electronic presidential futures market. The results took me by surprise. The polls show that Obama has taken a lead with all the economy’s troubles. But the bettors in the futures market are giving Obama a 75% chance of winning in November.
Dublin-based Intrade has been consistently less positive on Obama’s chances than Iowa’s market, but even it now gives him a 68% chance of winning.
Stories You Might Like
There’s a lot happening in the world. Through it all, Marketplace is here for you.
You rely on Marketplace to break down the world’s events and tell you how it affects you in a fact-based, approachable way. We rely on your financial support to keep making that possible.
Your donation today powers the independent journalism that you rely on. For just $5/month, you can help sustain Marketplace so we can keep reporting on the things that matter to you.
